NBA · resolved market
LeBron 10+ point streak broken this season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc6ff641c1d4c98b0b0fc1b75146a488ad32e8b12ef51cdd0bb6f5dd8ab984b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 4,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc8…a8edbacked No | 43c | 2,500$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed No | 51c | 1,605$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.93 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 50c | 1,080$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.78 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 843$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4e…65ddbacked Yes | 50c | 822.64$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 63c | 628.36$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.68 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed Yes | 40c | 449.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 36c | 300$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 46c | 287.48$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…02fabacked Yes | 64c | 231.75$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f49…71b2backed Yes | 49c | 205.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 60c | 201.66$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 60c | 191.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…eceebacked Yes | 42c | 177.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29dc…75dabacked No | 57c | 145.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4ab7backed No | 10c | 112.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86db…e44dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…d661backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ade…0adcbacked Yes | 53c | 81.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…4325backed Yes | 53c | 77.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x601b…42b7backed No | 52c | 61.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…b9b4backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 52c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d3bebacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…9189backed Yes | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…0eb8backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76e…ee41backed No | 56c | 37.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daa…41c4backed No | 56c | 35.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Yes | 45c | 33.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…9cd3backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9f…c209backed Yes | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…755cbacked No | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…29dfbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed No | 59c | 17.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.