TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fa6…16f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
273
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Movies, grading 69 out of 100 (+0.17 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 69 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT15054.7%82 W · 68 L+30.5wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+62.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
Movies — the 150 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,432.56
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.63
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,712Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$659.65
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.03
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.84
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$140.08
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$86.57
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+281.3%+$1,216.28
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+180.4%+$127.35
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,922Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$2,531.2
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$195.72
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$323.91
Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+479.6%+$211.71
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.55
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will "MJ" be said 2+ times during the next Spider-Man trailer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.36
Will "Sorry" be said during the next Spider-Man trailer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$17.55
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.61
Showing 25 of 150 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT5459.3%32 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.84
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.1
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.1
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$18.04
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.37
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.32
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.66
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.46
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.05
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.58
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+36%+$111.46
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.1
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.68
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Grizzlies vs. Wizardsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+400%+$80
LeBron 10+ point streak broken this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+116.2%+$154.49
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$80.38
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$20.33
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.28
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$266
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.8
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.55
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.05
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$20.95
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Spread: Germany (-4.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.23
Spread: Germany (-5.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$72.54
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.09
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.15
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.98
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Paraguay to score first vs. United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.71
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$136.75
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+220.1%+$171.9
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$13.75
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$22
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+234.2%+$95.13
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+51%+$16.8
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.34
Phillies vs. Yankeesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$55.18
Will the Mets or Dodgers win Game 3 of the NLCS?backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Will the Dodgers and Padres combine for 8 or more runs?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$56
Will there be at least 1 run scored in the first inning?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+62%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+73.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL Playoffs: Capitals vs. Hurricanes (To Advance)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$43.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.