Movies · resolved market
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e4ff6a2bb6f1645ac566f6ffb1e245c9f6413b6f287d94401d2c21cca741fbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 43c | 34,293$14,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,640.27 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked No | 56c | 13,741$7,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,705.97 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 55c | 10,441$5,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.07 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 9,023$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353.28 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 70c | 8,454$5,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.2 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 56c | 4,975$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.66 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 39c | 4,692$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.8 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 31c | 4,475$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.54 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 59c | 4,256$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.46 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed Yes | 7c | 3,747$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +286.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 68c | 3,706$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.65 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked No | 60c | 3,593$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 44c | 3,088$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.03 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9517…f0b3backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055f…19d7backed No | 2c | 2,572$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa6…79c1backed No | 1c | 2,500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked No | 68c | 2,248$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…7b4dbacked No | 64c | 2,233$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 28c | 2,083$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.22 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 40c | 1,856$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.42 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 36c | 1,552$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.97 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 7c | 1,467$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed No | 65c | 1,411$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.01 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 1,254$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.44 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 27c | 1,201$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.62 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 35c | 1,088$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.71 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 12c | 824$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 745.14$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.32 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 56c | 739.81$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.07 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 637.5$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.19 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 68c | 627.32$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…9d34backed No | 71c | 621.52$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 38c | 610$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.66 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…b760backed No | 5c | 601.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed Yes | 29c | 522.91$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.39 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 45c | 504.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.46 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 58c | 500$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 34c | 499.97$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 63c | 458$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.54 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…62b0backed Yes | 77c | 457.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…261abacked Yes | 36c | 454.43$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 43c | 444.76$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.21 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked No | 4c | 411.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 28c | 411.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.58 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed No | 6c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 14c | 394.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 10c | 381.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.34 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 46c | 374.48$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.01 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 67c | 371.66$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.92 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…c95cbacked Yes | 10c | 367.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.76 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed No | 67c | 362.38$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 35c | 351.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 18c | 348.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 44c | 335.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.23 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 324$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.54 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f44…110cbacked No | 66c | 320.02$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…57aabacked No | 65c | 320$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 13c | 318.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7230…f3d0backed No | 13c | 311.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 285.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.22 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 32c | 262.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 35c | 251.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked No | 73c | 246.84$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 52c | 235.63$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…3da3backed Yes | 37c | 225.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 66c | 220$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…1b7cbacked Yes | 22c | 218$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 74c | 210$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 52c | 207$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 54c | 201.71$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 9c | 200.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 200.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 33c | 200$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 46c | 198.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 35c | 185$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 35c | 175.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 60c | 171.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…2345backed Yes | 36c | 167.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…1ac0backed No | 26c | 162.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…ebcabacked Yes | 35c | 160.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.81 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 68c | 159.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed No | 66c | 152.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 75c | 150.45$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes | 27c | 150$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 138.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…66b2backed No | 79c | 125.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713c…41bbbacked Yes | 42c | 124$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…3f06backed No | 26c | 108.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed Yes | 74c | 106.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 23c | 105.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 72c | 105.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…35e1backed Yes | 36c | 103$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 52c | 102.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 44c | 101.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?this page
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?No won
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?No won
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?No won
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 95m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.