Movies · resolved market
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88f6e795e73f0be08d14ede88fe4334728d896776cb644e678842db1fb222469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 8,953$4,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.38 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 25c | 4,884$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.84 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 4,481$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…98b4backed Yes | 0c | 4,038$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 53c | 3,509$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.16 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 45c | 3,388$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.25 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055f…19d7backed Yes | 1c | 3,056$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 61c | 2,988$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.34 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 56c | 2,659$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.74 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 57c | 2,589$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.28 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 34c | 2,423$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.14 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 51c | 2,068$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.88 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 62c | 1,854$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.13 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 37c | 1,784$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.43 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…dfb9backed Yes | 50c | 1,700$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 37c | 1,381$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.99 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 33c | 1,377$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.62 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 61c | 1,262$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.87 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…25b0backed Yes | 57c | 1,250$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,250$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.92 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 29c | 1,100$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.3 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 72c | 1,055$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.26 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 31c | 956.09$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 64c | 942$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.05 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 49c | 873.82$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 40c | 843.02$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 4c | 818.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 777.82$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.77 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 50c | 708.19$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.13 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 51c | 703.29$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.84 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 637.5$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.61 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked No | 52c | 609.41$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.94 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 68c | 594.18$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.36 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 43c | 589.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.66 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af9…1f82backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f23…dc0cbacked Yes | 43c | 534.9$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 44c | 523.94$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.18 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…2b1fbacked Yes | 54c | 505.94$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.4 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…c95cbacked Yes | 44c | 497.98$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.02 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 44c | 461.78$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd56…0b8dbacked Yes | 42c | 460.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…261abacked Yes | 38c | 429.87$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…2ec2backed No | 45c | 375.83$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 31c | 368.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 51c | 362$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 67c | 360.32$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 359.79$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 55c | 344.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 64c | 336.76$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 320$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 44c | 316.58$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.21 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 33c | 315.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 52c | 314.17$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 45c | 309.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 29c | 300.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Yes | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 50c | 299.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed Yes | 48c | 280$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 64c | 280$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 52c | 277.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 49c | 274.43$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 72c | 250.82$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…5546backed No | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked Yes | 7c | 226.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…3ce8backed No | 48c | 224.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…1b7cbacked Yes | 48c | 224$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 80c | 221.07$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fd…f553backed Yes | 5c | 217.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 59c | 210$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…3b06backed No | 61c | 200.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7230…f3d0backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f92…d732backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…cf82backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 50c | 199.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 50c | 192.69$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…d719backed Yes | 29c | 191.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 57c | 174.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c1…452fbacked No | 46c | 169.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90f…ea7abacked Yes | 60c | 165.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked No | 50c | 162.36$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 37c | 158.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 66c | 158.29$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 40c | 147.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…329abacked No | 41c | 146$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked No | 51c | 145.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…90d3backed Yes | 9c | 142.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…3ff1backed Yes | 9c | 142.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 55c | 138.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 41c | 135.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?this page
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?No won
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?No won
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 95m?No won
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.