Movies · resolved market
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b299031e21731407f48e8584c14f878f163a076ca63d43d7053fac9b2e1970d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 23c | 10,023$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.62 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 3c | 4,395$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…9712backed Yes | 23c | 3,223$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.9 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5af9…1f82backed Yes | 3c | 2,212$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,988$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 75c | 1,678$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.75 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed No | 75c | 1,646$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.9 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…2345backed Yes | 13c | 1,307$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 5c | 1,282$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90f…ea7abacked Yes | 9c | 1,133$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,101$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed Yes | 10c | 1,040$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…28a1backed No | 78c | 1,020$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 2c | 902.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed No | 77c | 867.92$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.72 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 24c | 799.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 11c | 782.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 76c | 750.79$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.82 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 26c | 750.42$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 14c | 709.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked Yes | 2c | 699.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 80c | 637.5$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 75c | 525.98$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 74c | 499.98$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 27c | 493.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 9c | 483.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 78c | 448.57$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 446$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…2ec2backed Yes | 24c | 438.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd56…0b8dbacked Yes | 4c | 423.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 397$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…648cbacked Yes | 21c | 382.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 15c | 355.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…57aabacked Yes | 20c | 299.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 73c | 277.92$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…25b0backed Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 247.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked Yes | 23c | 246$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 79c | 238.14$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…43bfbacked Yes | 8c | 229.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…6cacbacked Yes | 22c | 227$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…1b7cbacked Yes | 21c | 224$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 27c | 215.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 76c | 210$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 24c | 209.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159e…050ebacked Yes | 24c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…829abacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 13c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 75c | 192.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 20c | 182.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 72c | 176$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 165$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 16c | 160$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 72c | 158.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa6…79c1backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…b760backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 22c | 104$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 79c | 93.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked No | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 80.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed Yes | 25c | 74.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 75c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 74c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 73c | 53.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 77c | 52.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…6bfdbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed No | 75c | 46.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +286.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 72c | 35.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 30c | 34.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 27.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 75c | 25.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked No | 74c | 23.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 76c | 18.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39ca…7605backed No | 78c | 16.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?this page
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?No won
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?No won
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 95m?No won
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.