TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x726c…6bfd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tweets, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 57 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.63
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.68
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$76.6
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.82
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Missouri State Bears vs. Florida International Golden Panthersbacked Florida International Golden Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Marist Red Foxes vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.36
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.33
Drake Bulldogs vs. UIC Flamesbacked UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+55.4%+$16.48
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.75
Omaha Mavericks vs. South Dakota Coyotesbacked South Dakota Coyotes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
VCU Rams vs. Dayton Flyersbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.79
Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bearsbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$23.81
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.56
American Eagles vs. Boston Terriersbacked Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.55
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Detroit Titansbacked Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.33
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. SIUE Cougarsbacked SIUE Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.76
Idaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Eastern Washington Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.79
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Cleveland State Vikingsbacked Cleveland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.11
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.32
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$50.92
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon post "Iran" or "Iranian" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$119.2
Will Elon post "Texas" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.19
Will Elon post "President" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$31.5
Will Elon post "Energy" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.47
Will Elon post "China" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.6
Will Elon post "IPO" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.23
Will Elon post "Soccer" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$90.7
Will Elon post "Never" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+539.8%+$238.07
Will Elon post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$40.7
Will Elon post "IPO" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+242.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Seattle Mariners vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.22
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$66.88
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.64
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$30.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+194.1%+$97.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+140.6%+$47.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexican Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Mattia Belluccibacked Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$34.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+49.7%+$12.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$16.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The International 2026: Comeback Against Mega Creepsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.