MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7014c424bb0145a006830aa4ee4162d0cff8398388d6c83998e999fed334af8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,010 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed New York Yankees | 61c | 2,837$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.86 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,212$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.49 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,149$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.61 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 934.14$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.43 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 697.84$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.09 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 366.61$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.97 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed New York Yankees | 65c | 282.57$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 263$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed New York Yankees | 60c | 251.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 232.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.64 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees | 26c | 231.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 226.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.55 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 224.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 217.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.31 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 209.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed New York Yankees | 45c | 207.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 204.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 160$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed New York Yankees | 63c | 157.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 132$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed New York Yankees | 57c | 127$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…6bfdbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed New York Yankees | 20c | 98.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 87.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 85.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed New York Yankees | 17c | 62.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed New York Yankees | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc6…fc33backed New York Yankees | 61c | 59.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 57.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e33…e938backed New York Yankees | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked New York Yankees | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed New York Yankees | 59c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6e…8fe0backed New York Yankees | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed New York Yankees | 63c | 38.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 37.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…2dc9backed New York Yankees | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Yankees | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed New York Yankees | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…47c0backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed New York Yankees | 59c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…f7f0backed New York Yankees | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 28.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed New York Yankees | 63c | 28.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…3dd1backed New York Yankees | 63c | 28.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…d795backed New York Yankees | 63c | 20.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed New York Yankees | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 18.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed New York Yankees | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked New York Yankees | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.