Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db003ebc833b0903435e8a8ddc08ffebf380bf2543df4da66b1d856c73134fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siena Saintsof Siena Saints, Merrimack College Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,067 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Siena Saints | 71c | 4,314$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.68 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 59c | 3,648$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.25 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 26c | 2,412$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.92 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 14c | 2,409$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.6 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Siena Saints | 41c | 2,007$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.93 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Merrimack College Warriors | 58c | 1,704$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.39 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Siena Saints | 43c | 1,414$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.95 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Merrimack College Warriors | 55c | 1,271$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.5 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 26c | 1,041$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 27c | 1,019$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.1 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 25c | 1,001$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.37 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Siena Saints | 79c | 740.15$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.69 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Siena Saints | 73c | 672.85$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Siena Saints | 77c | 622.78$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.27 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Merrimack College Warriors | 57c | 603.45$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.35 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Siena Saints | 40c | 545.38$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.23 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Siena Saints | 47c | 528.52$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.31 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Siena Saints | 41c | 471.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.25 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Siena Saints | 46c | 434.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.7 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Siena Saints | 40c | 395.09$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.44 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Merrimack College Warriors | 55c | 378.51$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.18 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Siena Saints | 69c | 301.46$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Siena Saints | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Merrimack College Warriors | 55c | 287.47$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.11 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Siena Saints | 40c | 272.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.61 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Siena Saints | 40c | 247.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 43c | 237.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Merrimack College Warriors | 27c | 227.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 23c | 202.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Siena Saints | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 57c | 167.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Merrimack College Warriors | 60c | 165.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Merrimack College Warriors | 55c | 162.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Merrimack College Warriors | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…70fcbacked Siena Saints | 40c | 148.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 37c | 138.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Siena Saints | 46c | 129.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Merrimack College Warriors | 44c | 129.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 59c | 123.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Merrimack College Warriors | 24c | 123$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Siena Saints | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Merrimack College Warriors | 59c | 105.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…d3dbbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 48c | 102.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Siena Saints | 41c | 99.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Merrimack College Warriors | 57c | 93.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Merrimack College Warriors | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Merrimack College Warriors | 57c | 86.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 18c | 84.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 26c | 81.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Merrimack College Warriors | 28c | 77.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Merrimack College Warriors | 39c | 76.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Siena Saints | 44c | 67.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Merrimack College Warriors | 33c | 65.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Siena Saints | 79c | 63.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Siena Saints | 65c | 58.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…b7debacked Siena Saints | 40c | 54.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 53.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Siena Saints | 43c | 53.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Siena Saints | 44c | 45.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Siena Saints | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Siena Saints | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Siena Saints | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…6bfdbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 57c | 43.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Siena Saints | 57c | 43.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Merrimack College Warriors | 47c | 40.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Siena Saints | 46c | 38.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Siena Saints | 79c | 37.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Siena Saints | 41c | 35.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Merrimack College Warriors | 57c | 34.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Siena Saints | 67c | 28.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Siena Saints | 40c | 25.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c6…737abacked Siena Saints | 71c | 22.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Siena Saints | 73c | 21.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…3914backed Siena Saints | 79c | 20.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed Siena Saints | 80c | 12.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriorsthis page
- Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 124.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 125.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 126.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 127.5Under won
- Spread: Merrimack College Warriors (-3.5)Siena Saints won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.