Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marist Red Foxes vs. Merrimack College Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93662b641eac8d4c276decaba52830c939c4d6571a36d030c23a3da258782fad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof Marist Red Foxes, Merrimack College Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,307 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Merrimack College Warriors | 62c | 14,183$8,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,459.15 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marist Red Foxes | 39c | 4,988$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 66c | 3,718$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.15 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Merrimack College Warriors | 64c | 2,628$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.14 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Marist Red Foxes | 39c | 2,530$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.7 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 2,509$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.47 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Marist Red Foxes | 39c | 2,295$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.05 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 2,068$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.23 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Marist Red Foxes | 23c | 1,613$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.9 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Merrimack College Warriors | 62c | 1,606$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.38 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Marist Red Foxes | 40c | 1,490$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.15 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Merrimack College Warriors | 63c | 1,451$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.48 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Marist Red Foxes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 882.41$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.32 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Marist Red Foxes | 40c | 752.13$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.49 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 79c | 737.44$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Marist Red Foxes | 19c | 721.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Merrimack College Warriors | 63c | 706.99$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.02 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Merrimack College Warriors | 75c | 503.34$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Marist Red Foxes | 40c | 499.78$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Marist Red Foxes | 39c | 493.93$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.63 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Merrimack College Warriors | 61c | 489.85$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marist Red Foxes | 37c | 477.47$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.65 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Marist Red Foxes | 26c | 382.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 342.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Merrimack College Warriors | 70c | 334.54$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Marist Red Foxes | 39c | 322.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Marist Red Foxes | 37c | 295.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 61c | 292.23$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.11 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Marist Red Foxes | 37c | 271$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Marist Red Foxes | 25c | 258.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Merrimack College Warriors | 64c | 219.3$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marist Red Foxes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ff…c4ccbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 58c | 192.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Marist Red Foxes | 39c | 188.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Merrimack College Warriors | 61c | 178.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 177.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Merrimack College Warriors | 67c | 155$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Marist Red Foxes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Marist Red Foxes | 39c | 127.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Marist Red Foxes | 40c | 123.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked Marist Red Foxes | 29c | 100.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Merrimack College Warriors | 60c | 93.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marist Red Foxes | 36c | 92.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Merrimack College Warriors | 64c | 85.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Marist Red Foxes | 40c | 82.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12c…b9fdbacked Marist Red Foxes | 45c | 80.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Marist Red Foxes | 39c | 79.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Marist Red Foxes | 40c | 77.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 77.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 77.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 77.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 77.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Marist Red Foxes | 24c | 70.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 67c | 68.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…9374backed Marist Red Foxes | 36c | 68.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…6bfdbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 61c | 65.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Marist Red Foxes | 30c | 64.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marist Red Foxes | 37c | 60.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Merrimack College Warriors | 63c | 59.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Marist Red Foxes | 32c | 57.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 66c | 55.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Merrimack College Warriors | 64c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Marist Red Foxes | 27c | 49.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Merrimack College Warriors | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 38.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 33.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Marist Red Foxes | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…4a3dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 62c | 24.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…af84backed Merrimack College Warriors | 61c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…e95fbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 69c | 18.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Merrimack College Warriors | 62c | 17.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Merrimack College Warriorsthis page
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 128.5Under won
- Spread: Merrimack College Warriors (-3.5)Marist Red Foxes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.