TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oklahoma State Cowboysof Oklahoma State Cowboys, Colorado Buffaloes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,360

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,360 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Colorado Buffaloes45c5,072$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.7349345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Oklahoma State Cowboys56c4,053$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.152,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys61c2,622$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.654,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Colorado Buffaloes43c2,578$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.9818954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys50c1,909$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.275,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Colorado Buffaloes54c1,434$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.5511747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Colorado Buffaloes55c1,434$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.1127450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Oklahoma State Cowboys44c1,400$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.7855840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Oklahoma State Cowboys62c1,396$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.3931646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Colorado Buffaloes53c999.96$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9821549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys47c979.21$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.7418349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado Buffaloes37c951.12$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.923,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Buffaloes46c908.37$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.151,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma State Cowboys57c877.5$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.455,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Oklahoma State Cowboys47c836.64$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4261652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Buffaloes16c815.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.771,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colorado Buffaloes52c768.96$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.642,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys61c736.24$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.1326945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Colorado Buffaloes45c729.36$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7861446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Colorado Buffaloes16c635.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.762321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Colorado Buffaloes38c510.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.471,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Colorado Buffaloes40c495.8$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.322944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e4…b96fbacked Colorado Buffaloes53c467.59$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.821637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+31%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Oklahoma State Cowboys65c449.56$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3515243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Oklahoma State Cowboys55c417.53$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8564647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Buffaloes40c384.7$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Colorado Buffaloes55c355.89$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7439454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Colorado Buffaloes15c312.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1816243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Oklahoma State Cowboys63c304.44$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.071,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Colorado Buffaloes48c299.94$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6739742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys47c299.06$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.971,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Colorado Buffaloes54c296.42$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0784147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Colorado Buffaloes27c289.23$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4333855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Oklahoma State Cowboys47c285.84$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.511850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Colorado Buffaloes53c244.02$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.339639.6%38 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Colorado Buffaloes53c227.13$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.291,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.786040%24 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0643…d46bbacked Colorado Buffaloes53c208.86$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.79348.4%45 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ec0…40dabacked Colorado Buffaloes48c198.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.41145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Colorado Buffaloes36c198.39$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4242934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Oklahoma State Cowboys48c198.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0937246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Colorado Buffaloes50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.136630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Oklahoma State Cowboys61c187$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9314450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Oklahoma State Cowboys46c159.96$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3821955.3%121 W · 98 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f8…17f1backed Oklahoma State Cowboys41c155.1$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.642259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Colorado Buffaloes53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.524432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Oklahoma State Cowboys60c136.52$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.325042%21 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f49…b482backed Oklahoma State Cowboys47c122.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Oklahoma State Cowboys47c105.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8910034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys47c99.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.542,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Buffaloes33c95.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9677142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys47c94.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9150745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Colorado Buffaloes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Colorado Buffaloes54c91.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.571,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3868…74f9backed Colorado Buffaloes54c91.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Colorado Buffaloes55c90.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5783350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcff6…09bdbacked Colorado Buffaloes55c90.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Oklahoma State Cowboys47c88.22$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7678052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys32c82.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1625829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Colorado Buffaloes46c81.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8816255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys36c78.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7110638.7%41 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Oklahoma State Cowboys47c71.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.672842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Colorado Buffaloes55c65.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7749157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6793…1869backed Oklahoma State Cowboys47c63.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.532245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf875…814dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys47c63.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Colorado Buffaloes40c61.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.71,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Oklahoma State Cowboys76c60.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Colorado Buffaloes53c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2125436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys39c56.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.411963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x523c…5348backed Colorado Buffaloes61c56.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.411250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colorado Buffaloes38c56.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2860551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Buffaloes51c55.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.243,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys31c50.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5570349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Colorado Buffaloes40c47.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3393247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x726c…6bfdbacked Colorado Buffaloes54c45.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.782454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Colorado Buffaloes55c43.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.841,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Oklahoma State Cowboys59c40.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4311552.2%60 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Oklahoma State Cowboys59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.427055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys42c33.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.341,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Oklahoma State Cowboys45c32.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9930050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys45c32.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9948551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Oklahoma State Cowboys45c32.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9932850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa574…ae93backed Oklahoma State Cowboys46c32.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.46966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88bd…c088backed Colorado Buffaloes34c32.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.916347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd036…ec4bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys47c31.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.772250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Oklahoma State Cowboys65c30.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.682853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8976…c2cbbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys65c30.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Oklahoma State Cowboys51c29.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.621758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Colorado Buffaloes53c29.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7233445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed Colorado Buffaloes48c28.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.882657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad9d…fba2backed Colorado Buffaloes55c26.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.874845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Oklahoma State Cowboys45c26.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5627650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys53c23.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.186851.5%35 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c6…737abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys72c22.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.184860.4%29 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Colorado Buffaloes53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.643053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.