Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 164.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1d1521a94609b2d64375f2bb8bea94ef6f7f83592071f216e02482b4e999f03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,532 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 53c | 6,047$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.14 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 3,982$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 51c | 3,552$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.21 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Under | 50c | 1,983$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 1,310$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.62 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 935.17$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.53 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 50c | 718.31$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.15 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 53c | 590.84$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.7 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 37c | 372.58$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.15 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Under | 50c | 297.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 44c | 292.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 169.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Under | 52c | 150.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 105.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 56c | 104.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 48c | 79.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 67.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 66.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 56.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 56.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Over | 50c | 49.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Under | 50c | 25.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 50c | 23.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 164.5this page
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado BuffaloesOklahoma State Cowboys won
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 162.5Over won
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Buffaloes (-1.5)Oklahoma State Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.