AI · resolved market
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71ae0e87ed7f12c78c4677404c5c1df18322223a6f49701d07d85163d804d73e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8a8…4dafbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…b0c8backed No | 66c | 6,058$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 31c | 4,639$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x443e…8055backed No | 1c | 3,101$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 33c | 2,071$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…4883backed No | 67c | 1,910$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked No | 71c | 1,809$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2e5abacked Yes | 75c | 1,483$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.57 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 32c | 1,305$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.21 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 10c | 1,265$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked No | 1c | 1,122$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…a246backed No | 56c | 1,109$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56e…f316backed No | 10c | 1,103$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c29…7570backed Yes | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 75c | 999.68$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.76 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 20c | 939$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 800$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 12c | 720.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…c345backed Yes | 65c | 697$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…4203backed Yes | 38c | 657.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x119c…2d4abacked No | 10c | 652.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 43c | 561.82$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.56 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 41c | 531.59$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.89 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 31c | 463.85$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.68 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 433.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.82 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 17c | 379.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 42c | 351.08$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.57 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed No | 22c | 331.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…deaabacked Yes | 24c | 290.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 289.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…b3f4backed No | 19c | 263.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +404.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 11c | 234.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 39c | 229.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.31 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…f147backed Yes | 27c | 227.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…b65ebacked No | 34c | 225$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Yes | 77c | 210$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 32c | 204.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b8…051bbacked No | 63c | 203.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…27e2backed Yes | 38c | 202.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 38c | 189.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…1182backed Yes | 79c | 189.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 26c | 180$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 25c | 153.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 16c | 147.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…86aebacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Yes | 43c | 135.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 73c | 135$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 47c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 128.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 29c | 123.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…be4dbacked No | 36c | 122.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 70c | 117.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 33c | 117.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -11.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…8a50backed Yes | 32c | 112.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 46c | 112$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 26c | 111.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Yes | 32c | 110.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…25d2backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38cf…7148backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 45c | 98.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf694…6a78backed No | 68c | 96.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 54c | 95.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 19c | 91.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc3…d307backed Yes | 33c | 89.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…6222backed No | 50c | 89.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 38c | 83.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb051…af22backed Yes | 49c | 82.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…d4f6backed No | 67c | 74.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 70c | 73.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 74c | 72.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…fce3backed Yes | 31c | 54.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked Yes | 33c | 53.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2,281.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…4f7bbacked No | 66c | 51.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 40c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…46ebbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…dd67backed Yes | 36c | 48.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…3b87backed No | 66c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e2f5backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…23f1backed Yes | 56c | 42.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…677abacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…cf93backed No | 51c | 38.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 53c | 37.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 39c | 35.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…54c1backed Yes | 40c | 33.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 35c | 31.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3687…e697backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a25…6d20backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…20aebacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?this page
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No won
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.