TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc677…677a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT5850%29 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$12.55
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+45.8%+$6.44
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.55
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+34.2%+$6.85
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.71
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+89.1%+$16.57
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.46
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.05
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.7%+$13.84
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.12
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.12
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.28
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.97
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$4.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+154%+$33.35
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+109.1%+$15.65
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$3.37
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$10.45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.75
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.4%+$5.75
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will New England face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.84
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.24
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.28
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.96
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+312%+$43.31
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.18
Patriots vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.06
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$17.01
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.25
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$5.84
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.63
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.27
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+65.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+525%+$105
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+354.5%+$53.18
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+109.1%+$20.58
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+102.7%+$15.41
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.63
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick51cpaid+151.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.28
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+853.4%+$85.4
Will the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$12.4
Will the announcers say "Bosnia" during Brazil vs Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+86%+$9.25
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$10.57
Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$7.48
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+63.2%+$8.85
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-77%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-wook be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.28
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.57
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.54
Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.93
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
All 7 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.32
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+70.4%+$7.09
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.