NHL · resolved market
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94b9375b71ada35eb155b8e883cc51bea6377db003146f505f6f66ab7b723981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Canadiens, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Canadiens | 34c | 6,767$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.43 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…5c2bbacked Canadiens | 35c | 4,348$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…96acbacked Wild | 65c | 4,069$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812d…9786backed Wild | 65c | 3,692$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…122fbacked Canadiens | 35c | 3,679$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…feefbacked Wild | 65c | 2,418$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…19e6backed Canadiens | 35c | 2,380$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb508…cf3fbacked Wild | 65c | 2,324$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…a3d6backed Canadiens | 35c | 2,312$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Wild | 65c | 2,245$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.65 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3e…cc97backed Wild | 65c | 1,995$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2251…2700backed Canadiens | 35c | 1,976$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…2e6abacked Wild | 65c | 1,958$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…0179backed Canadiens | 35c | 1,908$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Wild | 66c | 1,833$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.33 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac72…fa2ebacked Wild | 65c | 1,812$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78c…eccbbacked Canadiens | 35c | 1,695$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x590c…3659backed Canadiens | 35c | 1,581$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…135bbacked Wild | 65c | 1,542$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wild | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 35c | 1,128$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.78 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd172…19febacked Wild | 65c | 843.24$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wild | 66c | 843$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.62 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a33…adf3backed Canadiens | 35c | 820.08$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…c31ebacked Wild | 65c | 496.03$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wild | 65c | 471.79$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.13 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…c8a2backed Canadiens | 35c | 452.02$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Wild | 64c | 396.87$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.87 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Canadiens | 13c | 385$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wild | 64c | 268.88$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Canadiens | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 42c | 223.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wild | 64c | 221$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wild | 57c | 212$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Canadiens | 54c | 162.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Wild | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Canadiens | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 42c | 118.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e19…ff87backed Canadiens | 35c | 90.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Wild | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Canadiens | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Canadiens | 33c | 60.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 66c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Wild | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wild | 58c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Wild | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 65c | 35.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wild | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Canadiens | 54c | 32.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Wild | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bed…6b26backed Wild | 65c | 30.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Wild | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Wild | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wild | 66c | 26.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Wild | 67c | 24.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Wild | 64c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…677abacked Canadiens | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wild | 65c | 19.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)this page
- Wild vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Wild vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.