TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Under52c24,900$12,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,898.7967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c22,658$10,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,888.482,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Under53c18,585$9,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,849.942458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under1c10,280$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.752142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over49c6,767$3,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.1711445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over47c5,555$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.1521036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c4,621$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.831,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over48c3,900$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.8233151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Under54c3,712$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9827048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c2,000$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c1,560$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.8783149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Under52c1,400$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72813747.4%65 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c1,346$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.572,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under52c1,290$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.5614753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x943e…9f08backed Under51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over49c1,001$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.0630855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c900$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4721,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c831.08$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.4161953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over48c822.54$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.721,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Over51c723.25$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9410251%52 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2431848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked Under60c600$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70cf…f6cebacked Under52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over66c488$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.772,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under52c472$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.031,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Over48c414.59$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.595560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under47c413.5$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.951,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under52c370.33$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19247256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce5…65d7backed Under49c366.18$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.03933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over48c312.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2827547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x877a…7de2backed Over51c301.16$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.934953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efe…c8fbbacked Under53c275.48$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde71…01d9backed Over49c270$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over48c260$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.276450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x892b…d315backed Under53c245.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf6…b312backed Over49c234.69$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3330447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b22…107fbacked Under53c205.58$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.138446.4%39 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48c0…0a70backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029552.6%50 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c197.57$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7460741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003860.5%23 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under51c138.12$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9326243.5%114 W · 148 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012445.2%56 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under51c118$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.181,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5221060%126 W · 84 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under50c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over48c93.46$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6660141.9%252 W · 349 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Under52c90.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Over55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over48c84.22$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5223754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c82.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.462,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under21c77.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3115238.8%59 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b79…f5b2backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.415155%83 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c50…03a2backed Under58c58.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under52c57.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.028047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Under53c54.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.139454.3%51 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Under54c52.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.137051.4%36 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Over48c50.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.193655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe47b…c85cbacked Over49c50.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275052%26 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4e…1c13backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9024…3bbbbacked Under51c49.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-44.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under53c49.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4716447.6%78 W · 86 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x951b…291abacked Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.026540%26 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513658.1%79 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Over49c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5315447.4%73 W · 81 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under52c44.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2369653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2278651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8214542.8%62 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…b497backed Over50c40.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.121266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205658.9%33 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2078038.5%300 W · 480 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over44c39.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.11,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over58c38.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.273,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7cf…058dbacked Over49c35.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.22650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c31.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2816756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1533447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under53c27.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.737254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a93…cb5fbacked Over50c27.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Over50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135463%34 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under54c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c20.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3293953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad25…d571backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8123…268cbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103531.4%11 W · 24 L-7.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2a20…fc0abacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…d269backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc69a…e9f7backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Under53c19.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.262450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.