TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Wild: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Under47c41,948$19,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,715.467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over53c19,250$10,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,047.331,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x724b…e780backed Over53c15,610$8,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,336.921163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Under47c12,540$5,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,893.813553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c11,519$5,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,335.3356152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under49c9,346$4,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,577.913049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c7,865$4,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,617.91,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c4,432$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.5961953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over53c4,311$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.0593953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over53c4,086$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.2917057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c3,757$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.032,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over52c3,733$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.792,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaceb…6f8ebacked Over55c3,660$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Over54c3,494$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.2710746.7%50 W · 57 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Over53c3,223$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.8813551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c2,338$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.481,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over54c2,222$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.1218547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under48c1,757$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.3956649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over52c1,606$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.71,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Over54c1,542$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.533735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over58c1,437$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.832,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under46c1,119$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.141,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51738445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over51c1,029$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.211,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47010056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over53c999.98$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9942847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37676450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over53c745.37$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.3762346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over53c743$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.2183149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under47c701.74$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.1813348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Over53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32953337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Over54c648.15$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.152259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27631848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.569346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c532.42$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.82,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x966d…eaa5backed Over53c490$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.312254.1%66 W · 56 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under47c444$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6849546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3653050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Under47c372.34$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510850.9%55 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.377651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c342.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.212,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over54c333.3$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3211557.4%66 W · 49 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over53c307.89$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13820444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.789547.4%45 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under24c275$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7533735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under11c270$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72429.2%7 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick10cpaid+81.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under47c236$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9286852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under47c234.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over54c222.2$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2138551.4%198 W · 187 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over62c204.69$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.315238.8%59 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9459950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6812756.7%72 W · 55 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.196541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.198347%39 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under47c165.51$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7912152.1%63 W · 58 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9419651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4842…b2f4backed Over46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.21844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over52c143$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1912943.4%56 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under46c140.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3510450%52 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over54c138.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8915257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Over54c111.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.14949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2af0…8473backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475738.6%22 W · 35 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4627049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482540%10 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5910864.8%70 W · 38 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.598345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over53c78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6a…86bbbacked Over57c72.56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.841729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under27c70.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3274054.5%403 W · 337 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed Over54c66.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.672259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under48c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5947944.7%214 W · 265 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under46c59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1413554.1%73 W · 62 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c56.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2762951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.513142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Under25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57436.5%27 W · 47 L-9.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.55052%26 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under46c49.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9943250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over53c49.48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.264850%24 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Over53c48.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.871866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4993…2511backed Over53c45.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.397661.8%47 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under26c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6518262.1%113 W · 69 L+15.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x412f…019dbacked Over54c44.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.442245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over53c43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2178651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a14…4313backed Over53c40.51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.434949.9%174 W · 175 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ea…165fbacked Over51c39.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…b7ddbacked Over54c35.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over53c34.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1616447.6%78 W · 86 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc677…677abacked Under31c33.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Under48c28.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4416237%60 W · 102 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c7c…ca88backed Over54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.781850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02a…2573backed Over54c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.