TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$528,785
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$527,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,785 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6b4…a278backed Wild56c191,355$106,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,363.8410349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jets45c59,108$26,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,384.591,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Jets44c53,572$23,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,000.044050%20 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Wild56c47,015$26,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,523.386139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jets44c31,527$13,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,797.4256152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Wild57c26,373$14,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,936.1256649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Jets45c20,061$9,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,000.611656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wild55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.9632946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Jets44c18,888$8,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,577.2821850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Jets45c17,759$7,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,767.398252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Jets44c17,712$7,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,918.9922550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets53c16,911$8,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,921.581,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Wild54c15,170$8,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,191.9913449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Wild55c14,785$8,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,119.291,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Jets44c13,414$5,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,511.789548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jets45c12,668$5,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,967.479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets44c12,500$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Jets43c10,572$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,071.948247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Wild56c10,530$5,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,896.824654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Jets44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,60015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wild57c9,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets44c7,405$3,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,153.122,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jets44c7,272$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,072.3252050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b81…9204backed Jets43c6,994$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,986.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jets53c6,863$3,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.21,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets41c6,500$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,834.951,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Wild56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Wild56c5,571$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1204841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Jets43c5,500$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1355152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Wild56c5,012$2,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,806.6613553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Wild56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.0113948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Wild56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Wild56c4,932$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75016843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wild59c4,411$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,611.731,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Wild55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Wild56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jets44c3,981$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.291,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jets44c3,934$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.0426058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets78c3,512$2,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.731,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Jets45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.9886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jets45c2,900$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59561953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Wild50c2,861$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.9211352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Wild57c2,702$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5409254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Jets41c2,653$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.2133243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Jets44c2,538$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.928251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Jets46c2,528$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.2818345.9%84 W · 99 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Jets78c2,465$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.6385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Wild16c2,460$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.658467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Wild57c2,400$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36814848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wild21c2,397$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.52,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wild56c2,389$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.11,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Jets44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7325446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Jets44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7331654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Wild1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wild56c2,200$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22751044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Wild56c2,199$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.51,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Jets41c2,100$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wild56c2,076$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.5675251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wild1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jets49c1,948$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.1995049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jets43c1,912$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.6160337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Jets46c1,900$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0264047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Wild56c1,869$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.94045%18 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Wild1c1,825$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.252420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Jets44c1,692$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.925736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jets44c1,542$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.9693953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Wild57c1,528$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.862249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jets45c1,507$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.891,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Jets44c1,455$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.5512445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Jets42c1,429$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.574346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Jets45c1,300$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.543548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jets45c1,300$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71531851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jets45c1,290$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.1245751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wild41c1,233$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.3238738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Jets45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66010056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked Jets44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.368547.1%40 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Jets44c1,135$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.67138%27 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Jets41c1,124$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.2613348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wild19c1,109$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Jets44c1,100$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61645749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6a…86bbbacked Wild20c1,094$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.341729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wild22c1,053$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.641,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild56c1,000$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.0197651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Wild60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009853.1%52 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Jets45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5508938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Wild59c932.2$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010250%51 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Jets41c915.96$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.541,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Jets44c909.2$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.1510846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild6c874.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4743743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Jets54c835.69$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.786157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Jets43c823.68$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.648347%39 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5411…f90fbacked Wild57c809.68$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Wild59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47219645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…c31cbacked Jets42c776.19$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.191662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4a5…398fbacked Wild45c762$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.91369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Jets43c729.69$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.5148748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Wild56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40041757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Jets61c714.06$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.471,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.