Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 137.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c9e7e5dd2ccd1b6e762b540121740f8ba1ab47a01bd4ef15c80465861f5939d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 49c | 35,173$17,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,300.84 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 17,500$8,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,675 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 8,021$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.85 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 3,956$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.36 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,505$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 1,441$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 816.21$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.94 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 598$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 52c | 432.73$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.02 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 49c | 341.93$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.11 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 167$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Under | 48c | 124.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 54c | 102.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…01cebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 77.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 49c | 71.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Under | 52c | 40.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Under | 53c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 53c | 38.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…418cbacked Under | 53c | 38.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…26afbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…26fbbacked Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 52c | 33.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Under | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4b…9f51backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…677abacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 50c | 29.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Under | 40c | 25.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6a…c64ebacked Under | 49c | 23.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 137.5this page
- Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle ExplorersLa Salle Explorers won
- Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 135.5Under won
- Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-10.5)La Salle Explorers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.