NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ef2e85846a9e83f09464f4ed35e3f6e71cb15036a82f6136de9939283755238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 42c | 5,749$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Kings | 56c | 5,549$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.58 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Kings | 60c | 4,167$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 44c | 2,722$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…5ca2backed Kings | 58c | 2,290$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…42a3backed Pistons | 42c | 2,290$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Pistons | 42c | 1,500$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.94 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Kings | 58c | 947.33$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…6313backed Kings | 58c | 880$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…e0e7backed Pistons | 42c | 880$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.4 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Pistons | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons | 42c | 660.85$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.51 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f1…04e9backed Kings | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Kings | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pistons | 42c | 398.31$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.02 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Pistons | 44c | 350.91$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.24 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Kings | 59c | 332$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.28 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 43c | 288.67$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Kings | 57c | 263.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Pistons | 41c | 253.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Kings | 61c | 214$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pistons | 43c | 199.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Kings | 57c | 172.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 44c | 144$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 44c | 137.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Kings | 56c | 120.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Pistons | 44c | 107.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Kings | 60c | 103.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c1…a5adbacked Kings | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Kings | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Kings | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Kings | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed Kings | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Kings | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Kings | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c0…89d2backed Kings | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pistons | 43c | 51.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 49c | 50.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Pistons | 40c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…ba15backed Kings | 57c | 47.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Kings | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Pistons | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Pistons | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Pistons | 54c | 43.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Kings | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Pistons | 41c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Kings | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Pistons | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Kings | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 281 | 56.2%158 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Kings | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Pistons | 47c | 39.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…ff17backed Kings | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820f…0ddcbacked Kings | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Kings | 57c | 30.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Pistons | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Pistons | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Pistons | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…677abacked Kings | 59c | 27.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Pistons | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Pistons | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Kings | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…0013backed Kings | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Kings | 70c | 23.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…09dabacked Kings | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Kings | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Kings | 57c | 17.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)this page
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kings vs. PistonsPistons won
- Kings vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Kings vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 249.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 255.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 257.5Under won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Zach LaVine: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.