NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x303183ce3d721045434ff87e16088ae7e576afc1be057cdaaf19b0027a7127d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 3,623$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 51c | 1,667$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.67 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Over | 56c | 1,030$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.2 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 814.09$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.91 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 312.04$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.9 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 42c | 172.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79b…cf30backed Over | 56c | 142.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 56c | 135.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 133.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…3d9bbacked Over | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 57.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…43aabacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 43.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Under | 47c | 26.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 53c | 25.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 56c | 24.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Over | 55c | 18.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kings vs. PistonsPistons won
- Kings vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Kings vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 249.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 255.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 257.5Under won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Zach LaVine: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.