TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,984
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,952

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,984 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x185c…fa2fbacked Over49c16,500$8,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4152152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4db…309dbacked Under51c16,500$8,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4152157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf04f…103dbacked Under51c16,500$8,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4152466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb482…e3ecbacked Over49c16,500$8,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4152766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e27…3cccbacked Over49c15,100$7,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,7012356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42e9…80a8backed Under51c15,100$7,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7012356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under50c10,915$5,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,457.6638251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under50c9,953$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over50c6,767$3,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,401.713239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c3,230$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.639,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c2,508$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.812,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over51c2,347$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.9880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under50c1,499$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75023052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under50c805$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c762.69$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.044,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef3…1a90backed Under49c752$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.481457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd311…ecccbacked Over52c752$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.961656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c660.05$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c628.99$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.915,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c601.34$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.3367252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Over50c398.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.696145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c359$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.272,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under50c298.33$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1715649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over51c276.98$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7220651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under50c276.82$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.526336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c250.78$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.912,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Under52c243.08$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.46653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over46c239.56$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3662744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7715649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Under50c201.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3908…20eabacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under54c174$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.964645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under52c173.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under51c158$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.589050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Over51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8626044.6%116 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a53…1b12backed Over53c154.11$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.432259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+39.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c132.3$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c121.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.612,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over51c117.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6476250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Under49c110$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.937850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over53c106.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.262546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Under49c104.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2320356.7%115 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d4…d0eabacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e97…7680backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4935739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Under51c86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.864957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c67.93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.531,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b2…7025backed Under54c67.12$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2411136%40 W · 71 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf406…c9bfbacked Under55c65.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368046.3%37 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.623,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eca…6882backed Over52c61.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5415936.5%58 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under54c61.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under54c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.246541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under51c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.058552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1948740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under54c53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.624245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under50c50.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.021,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over49c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under52c49.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.996965.2%45 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under49c49.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0117949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked Over47c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.312450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Over52c43.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9519649%96 W · 100 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under49c42.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2137959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed Over47c41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.782850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16fc…2fdebacked Under49c40.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98ed…9af8backed Over50c40.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.145343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9edf…0f44backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203450%17 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed Over50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195263.5%33 W · 19 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+68.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Over49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.382937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Under49c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.135650%28 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Over46c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.361952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x521c…64d2backed Over49c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.342437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under51c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.834658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Over49c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.815448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff6…5dbdbacked Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebe…06b4backed Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.