TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Kings46c26,843$12,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,357.7121057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Pistons56c10,167$5,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,474.0136359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons53c6,500$3,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05558449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings49c6,356$3,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings48c5,665$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.082,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons52c5,469$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6253,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Pistons52c4,808$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.6938750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons52c4,633$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.961,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons49c3,720$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons54c3,072$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4101,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Pistons52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2009742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Pistons54c2,179$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.6141553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Kings47c2,045$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.1558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings44c2,010$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.535,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Pistons54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.0965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings48c1,738$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.051,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Pistons64c1,711$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61128554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pistons54c1,505$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.42,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings45c1,328$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.936,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pistons55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Pistons50c887.4$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.711048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Pistons53c716.98$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9823845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons55c609$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.353,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings47c439.98$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.884,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Kings50c402.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4419747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Pistons52c395.99$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0826651.1%136 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons54c392.05$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.643,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pistons57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Pistons53c325$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7520651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Pistons53c319.32$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0827943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Kings45c300$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13652844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Pistons52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1445060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Kings45c289.52$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2851146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons55c286$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.72,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Pistons52c237.25$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8823546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Pistons43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11459144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Kings46c165.73$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.241,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Pistons50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7537750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pistons53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Pistons54c127.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6976250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Pistons51c112$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.884461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons55c110.09$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.542,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pistons53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4780744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Pistons53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3417545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Pistons51c93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.574658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings47c85.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.443,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Pistons55c85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.255060%30 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Kings44c78.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4539736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e77…4fd2backed Pistons55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.643345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pistons52c59.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5485147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Pistons52c57.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.611150.5%56 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Pistons52c53.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8562546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Kings44c51.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.851,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Kings50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Kings50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15d…d581backed Kings47c48.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310739.3%42 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pistons57c38.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.61,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Kings43c37.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.071,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Pistons53c36.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2940853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Kings48c34.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4410842.6%46 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ff…db1dbacked Kings47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.653831.6%12 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2cc1…3e21backed Kings49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Pistons50c30.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.311555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Pistons54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7849358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Kings48c26.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9353043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d89…87b0backed Kings49c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.742050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Pistons56c25.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3816343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50be…bcb1backed Kings47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.732548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Pistons55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.257951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadc…a4e8backed Kings49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.252540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings50c24.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.481,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3277…be5fbacked Kings52c24.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.645950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Pistons53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6411637.9%44 W · 72 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Pistons54c22.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2235049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed Kings49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.292634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-35.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbb3d…341abacked Pistons55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Pistons51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.87451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.