NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x741053a93ac0953407683436e7b60efb318bc932442e79ee195b2bab057d1ea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 10,135$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,149.18 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…ca3cbacked Over | 53c | 9,513$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,513.17 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 47c | 8,313$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906.93 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 4,330$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.53 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 4,196$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.11 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 3,422$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 3,005$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.53 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 2,415$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.09 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 50c | 2,415$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.03 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 53c | 2,038$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.83 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 51c | 1,975$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.41 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,935$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 1,867$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,506$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.17 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 1,503$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.24 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 50c | 1,457$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.87 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 1,390$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 52c | 963.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.27 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 67c | 557.69$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.42 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 51c | 276.69$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 47c | 199.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 78c | 190.34$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 61c | 84.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 47c | 79.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 77.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed Over | 49c | 73.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 48c | 54.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 52c | 48.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Under | 51c | 44.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 48c | 44.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Under | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 49c | 35.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…1425backed Under | 48c | 29.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -8.5wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Under | 52c | 28.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kings vs. PistonsPistons won
- Kings vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Kings vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 249.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 255.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 257.5Under won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Zach LaVine: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.