TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$752,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$766,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $752,503 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Pistons48c485,875$233,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252,667.4887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings52c300,000$156,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156,0001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Kings52c90,257$46,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,933.392,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Kings53c56,787$30,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,097.2339842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Pistons52c47,169$24,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,580.4436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Kings49c25,278$12,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,449.521057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings48c22,631$10,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,835.452,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Pistons53c10,104$5,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,748.7729347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Kings52c9,999$5,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.4824554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4592…49b6backed Kings51c9,668$4,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,930.681442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Pistons50c9,049$4,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,524.4610252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…6448backed Pistons49c8,718$4,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,446.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons49c7,818$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5846…972dbacked Pistons51c7,676$3,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,761.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Kings53c7,547$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Kings50c6,767$3,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,383.513239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Kings54c6,304$3,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,375.7719747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Kings50c5,997$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Kings53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pistons52c5,201$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.512,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e1…1b41backed Kings49c5,046$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x197b…a6b0backed Pistons49c5,033$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.581361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons48c4,651$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pistons49c4,300$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2042,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons53c4,184$2,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.073,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6077…ad46backed Kings51c4,084$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.071553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Pistons52c3,412$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.7635747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Kings52c3,333$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.1669149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a6…1c14backed Kings51c3,106$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.24850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+148.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pistons49c3,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings50c2,091$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.712,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Kings39c2,030$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.4826336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Pistons51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98014346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Kings53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9918747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings47c1,999$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.745,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings50c1,649$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.182,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Kings51c1,508$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.0858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons48c1,383$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.533,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Kings53c1,136$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.0819350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Kings53c1,019$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Pistons47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Kings52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings36c932.29$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.693,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kings13c908.21$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.21,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings47c877$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.192,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd91…075ebacked Pistons49c822$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings53c806.51$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons50c785.37$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.332,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons45c717.55$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.654,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Kings15c652.43$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8231144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Kings53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3187544%33 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Pistons50c549$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.522055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Kings51c524.02$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.259451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Kings47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Kings10c446.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.571,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings12c439.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.951,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Kings34c426.82$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7839736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Pistons47c425.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5414647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Kings47c424$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.061,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Pistons49c409.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.571,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Kings52c403.89$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0285147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Kings51c400.2$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.113543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Kings48c400$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19052844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Kings53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed33…d4fabacked Kings51c363$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Pistons48c348.09$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0918343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Kings50c348$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17425452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Kings50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Kings53c319.32$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2427943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Kings50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15061747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Kings47c276.58$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9912645.2%57 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Pistons47c270$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.150241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Pistons49c267.35$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3547354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Kings49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b7…256ebacked Kings51c244$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Kings46c243.24$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Kings51c235.54$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1220744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc15f…91c1backed Kings51c215$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Kings53c213.21$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1132846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Kings53c212.87$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8210953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3277…be5fbacked Kings59c210.26$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.15950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Kings49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.730146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27fe…685cbacked Kings68c207.4$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons46c204.52$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.441,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Pistons50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016030.6%49 W · 111 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Pistons48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Kings50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons52c199.32$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.63,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings29c198.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.591,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x902e…5f41backed Kings52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009853.1%52 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Kings53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028949.1%142 W · 147 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kings22c176.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.192,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons50c161.94$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.893,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Pistons51c161$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.899360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e77…4fd2backed Pistons51c154.55$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.563345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Pistons52c152.01$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7331155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pistons50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Kings53c148$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.449258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons51c148$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.522,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.