TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Kings, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,778,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,824,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,778,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Kings15c216,967$32,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,545.0121057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings15c189,363$28,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,110.7951844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Kings16c90,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,40016752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Kings14c89,799$12,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,571.9327424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings14c79,326$11,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,237.4447028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Kings16c40,750$6,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,52010930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Kings16c30,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings6c23,368$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.931,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kings4c18,285$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.941,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kings1c18,065$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Kings4c13,710$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.2219033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Kings13c12,500$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.995933.9%20 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x771c…18f2backed Kings0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings16c11,752$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.321,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Kings0c11,499$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.92348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed Kings2c11,371$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005427.8%15 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c10,700$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.48820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc09…95e2backed Kings0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Kings14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9547043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Kings16c9,334$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.3620744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Kings19c8,487$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.2646940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Kings15c7,911$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings3c7,841$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.761,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings13c7,691$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.31,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8332…599fbacked Kings0c7,213$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+167.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2efc…8259backed Kings1c7,191$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Kings14c7,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9946928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Kings15c6,171$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.6721139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Kings14c6,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9914945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings2c5,340$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11967911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings15c5,050$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Kings16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kings15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Kings15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75018151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Kings17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons79c4,543$3,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.311,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings2c4,294$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Kings14c4,090$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.497943%34 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings16c3,750$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb944…250fbacked Kings16c3,652$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.633357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Kings17c3,529$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Kings0c3,520$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.064136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Kings15c3,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52561740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Kings15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006432.8%21 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Kings15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007536%27 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Kings23c3,331$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings13c3,271$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Kings14c3,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43061336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Kings17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings1c2,937$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.337211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Kings8c2,776$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9816919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Kings18c2,679$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.6725146.2%116 W · 135 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Kings22c2,669$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027950.5%141 W · 138 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fb…f0d5backed Kings19c2,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pistons77c2,567$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.692,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Kings9c2,545$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9533428.1%94 W · 240 L-20.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Kings15c2,532$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.871,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Kings16c2,458$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.2926336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Kings4c2,437$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.731034.9%5 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Kings17c2,166$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.2816335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Kings19c2,141$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.1230840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Kings10c2,100$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20730619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf0…3156backed Kings2c2,070$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2350338.4%193 W · 310 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Kings14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653d…b3a7backed Kings16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.993050%15 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Kings4c1,981$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9226637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x512e…4f1bbacked Kings15c1,917$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.487030%21 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a3…b0fdbacked Kings16c1,888$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Kings20c1,700$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Kings15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked Kings16c1,633$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.351225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Kings14c1,624$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4345838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings13c1,562$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.63,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1a…5bb6backed Kings1c1,558$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef6…c371backed Kings1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Kings14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21031538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Kings1c1,450$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51690%0 W · 169 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings15c1,396$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.432,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe323…f90abacked Kings21c1,359$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.181241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9edf…0f44backed Kings1c1,338$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103450%17 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Kings15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…5c8cbacked Kings16c1,281$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Kings8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009540%38 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Kings16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020728.5%59 W · 148 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed Kings16c1,216$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.537060%42 W · 28 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Kings20c1,200$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24050239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e09…78f0backed Kings15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b7a…3accbacked Kings10c1,152$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11018825%47 W · 141 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x207e…3499backed Kings18c1,114$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.579848%47 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd38a…44babacked Kings2c1,020$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.31128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Kings16c1,017$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5873131.1%227 W · 504 L-3.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b33…3d6abacked Kings9c1,012$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908531.8%27 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed26…24fabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10254%1 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-80.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…3ec9backed Kings16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a6…1c14backed Kings16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+148.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9909…b90cbacked Kings10c999.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020839.4%82 W · 126 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Kings15c999.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040127.2%109 W · 292 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Kings14c999.93$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9940035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Kings16c917$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7210659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.