NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2730c52b78d67324a6f95b5b0e757027832173178f996bc431378571d16517f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Kings | 53c | 27,730$14,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,649.2 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Pistons | 50c | 22,170$11,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,001.06 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Kings | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 47c | 7,835$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 46c | 7,607$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 50c | 6,864$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Kings | 57c | 4,388$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Kings | 51c | 3,923$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.85 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 47c | 2,582$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.67 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 53c | 1,137$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Pistons | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,053$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.09 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Kings | 54c | 1,018$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…c4f6backed Kings | 53c | 921.51$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 52c | 800$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.07 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…83c9backed Kings | 55c | 744$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…82e8backed Pistons | 45c | 666$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pistons | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pistons | 47c | 502.04$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.08 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 47c | 407$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.24 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Kings | 52c | 390.2$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.9 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Kings | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Kings | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d17…4ef4backed Pistons | 45c | 277$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…5e66backed Pistons | 45c | 266$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…a7abbacked Kings | 55c | 235$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…0eb3backed Kings | 55c | 227$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 47c | 222.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Pistons | 49c | 214$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…a84cbacked Kings | 55c | 204$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…81dfbacked Pistons | 45c | 201$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Kings | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Kings | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Pistons | 45c | 178.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Pistons | 43c | 146.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kings | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 48c | 139.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Pistons | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Kings | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Kings | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Pistons | 47c | 71.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pistons | 45c | 66.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27c0…89d2backed Kings | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Pistons | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Kings | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Kings | 52c | 45.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Pistons | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Pistons | 46c | 39.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…ba15backed Kings | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…7611backed Kings | 54c | 35.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Pistons | 44c | 34.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Pistons | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Pistons | 53c | 28.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Kings | 54c | 27.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Pistons | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 43c | 26.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Pistons | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Pistons | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Kings | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Pistons | 53c | 20.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Kings | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)this page
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kings vs. PistonsPistons won
- Kings vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Kings vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 249.5Over won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 255.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 257.5Under won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Zach LaVine: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.