TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2cc1…3e21

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2119%4 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+77.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.81
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21.73
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+742.8%+$295.25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+733.3%+$334.39
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.98
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.93
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$41.42
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.43
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.11
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+767.8%+$203.03
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+1,085.5%+$155.66
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.24
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.28
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.17
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,441.2%+$201.05
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.8
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.66
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.44
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$17.75
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.47
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$37.25
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+126.8%+$92.24
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.41
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.27
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+73.9%+$8.5
Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+35.5%+$10.47
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44.09
Counter-Strike: WATERMELON vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stagebacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23.43
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Acend (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Bbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+462.1%+$71
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Four Magic (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffsbacked Four Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 7 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+79%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.86
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+566.7%+$59.5
Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)backed Rangers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$18.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.