Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x656aa888022ce02b05a239b4c8aeed2dc21750e10eb256dd640d3261c2b1258c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, S2G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Misa Esports | 58c | 392.03$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Misa Esports | 78c | 385$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed S2G Esports | 14c | 361.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…038abacked Misa Esports | 73c | 273.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed S2G Esports | 42c | 239.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked S2G Esports | 41c | 226.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked S2G Esports | 24c | 196.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed S2G Esports | 42c | 181.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked S2G Esports | 22c | 116.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Misa Esports | 59c | 115.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Misa Esports | 79c | 114.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 114.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked S2G Esports | 37c | 101.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed S2G Esports | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9910…697fbacked S2G Esports | 24c | 96.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 79.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Misa Esports | 78c | 73.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Misa Esports | 78c | 63.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed S2G Esports | 24c | 62.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…3e21backed S2G Esports | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…d964backed S2G Esports | 31c | 48.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…8d4bbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Misa Esports | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…88dbbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed S2G Esports | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Misa Esports | 71c | 24.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Misa Esports | 68c | 23.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Misa Esports | 56c | 21.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7e…32ffbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53a…bdb4backed Misa Esports | 76c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.