Champions League · resolved market
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc575dbb6f90d198c9c61930f4eeeac1b06340f7e7e28b8f489ec17b37760f3e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 21c | 26,590$5,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,955.84 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 79c | 22,665$17,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,905.48 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 2c | 16,633$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 15,461$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,096.43 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 8,946$6,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,778.67 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 79c | 8,580$6,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,778.2 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 22c | 8,200$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,396 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 79c | 4,839$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 4,100$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 4,064$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.3 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 79c | 4,060$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 2,281$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.72 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…28bdbacked Yes | 21c | 2,089$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 21c | 2,020$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.23 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.98 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.98 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 79c | 1,896$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.84 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 1,864$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.95 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.03 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 10c | 1,672$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +149%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,618$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.42 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 61c | 1,586$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.39 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 1,578$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.87 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 1,455$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.43 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 13c | 1,452$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.06 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 79c | 1,429$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.91 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…0e4fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,276$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59e…2b99backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +525%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…6977backed Yes | 10c | 1,165$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…8878backed Yes | 13c | 1,100$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +663.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…62dabacked No | 79c | 1,014$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Yes | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…cfc9backed No | 11c | 913.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No | 79c | 903.18$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 78c | 900$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Yes | 53c | 841.38$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 808.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.25 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 791.14$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.66 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 41c | 782.6$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.02 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 15c | 763.16$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…45e0backed Yes | 11c | 742.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 13c | 675$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +236.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 10c | 641.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed No | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…0724backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 23c | 607.76$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 21c | 605.11$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.04 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 21c | 586.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.26 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 78c | 549$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.22 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.45 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 5c | 536.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed No | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…3808backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…f345backed Yes | 20c | 459.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed No | 78c | 455$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -6.3wins | -0.28per pick | 60cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 9c | 446.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.44 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 14c | 439.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.56 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 69c | 432$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.57 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 79c | 415.48$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.23 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 13c | 408.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…d4ddbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…8824backed No | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 34c | 375.85$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.97 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 9c | 349.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.49 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 22c | 343.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.14 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…9447backed No | 21c | 334.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…6527backed Yes | 9c | 329.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed No | 79c | 327.85$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1652…a501backed Yes | 12c | 320$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0c…e6bdbacked Yes | 8c | 318.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,131.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef42…5d27backed Yes | 21c | 304.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 21c | 300$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 29c | 286.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0279…1ac7backed Yes | 8c | 274.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 79c | 273$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.67 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 78c | 268.24$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.23 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 36c | 266.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 79c | 265$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.35 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…90bfbacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…915fbacked Yes | 11c | 250.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…e38bbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…053abacked Yes | 11c | 245.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 53c | 244.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…6a16backed Yes | 16c | 244.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…be54backed No | 79c | 240.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 16c | 234.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?No won
- Will Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.