TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes23c25,000$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7501861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x083c…3f02backed No77c24,992$19,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,748.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Yes24c12,614$3,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,027.352222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c6,074$3,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.211,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c4,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96061447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes31c3,881$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.9234342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No77c3,821$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.5359136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes25c2,704$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68021938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes24c2,563$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.759754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c1,860$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.8358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed53…b946backed Yes15c1,411$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes36c1,333$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.81,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4985…28bdbacked Yes22c1,262$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.64742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No65c1,251$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.62441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes35c1,250$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.52552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Yes8c1,099$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick11cpaid+149%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No77c1,047$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.939746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2405100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes22c999.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes34c735.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes18c704.01$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.337544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No76c695.82$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3324963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes24c681.04$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.321233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1384450%22 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13814650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes76c546.01$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick65cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No76c499.95$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.997146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes23c483.82$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2438343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes36c483.05$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.96666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes6c455.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6915438.3%59 W · 95 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008224.4%20 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4735…d4ebbacked Yes29c429.03$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Yes35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d3…a973backed Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2386…1a2dbacked Yes79c380$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.21020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked No67c369.8$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Yes57c310.35$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes27c296.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.773836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb16…f925backed Yes29c250.35$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+143.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No78c228.21$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.219556.8%54 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504717%8 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3905…d868backed Yes8c214$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf680…f435backed Yes64c210.49$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ac…01f5backed Yes55c209.78$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.211050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+81.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes25c204$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0338935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No38c200.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.178523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4613146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No57c200$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8516349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b01…6977backed Yes36c185.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.841216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes24c179.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes24c179.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No62c176.22$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3821745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Yes17c161.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.46560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+126.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db5…79f4backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-57.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5926…6cabbacked Yes14c157.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3397…9ec1backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c12…1f27backed No68c145$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No64c144.22$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.524526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x757c…ff7abacked Yes65c137.12$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.530%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked No77c130.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.32245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309650%48 W · 48 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34e9…e6c7backed Yes61c127.29$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.923745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes25c127$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.751936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x713d…15d0backed Yes23c126.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291030%3 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick64cpaid-48.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes23c126.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910044%44 W · 56 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes33c125.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.386547.7%31 W · 34 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No46c121.94$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.055872.4%42 W · 16 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes23c116.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4359441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b73…05b4backed No77c114.29$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.29366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed Yes61c110.58$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.45966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5212…29c7backed No75c106.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.78785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ef7…7176backed Yes76c105.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Yes59c105$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d6a…45e0backed Yes14c104.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.562030%6 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60a…1613backed Yes19c102.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-62.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x472d…294cbacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe61b…915fbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+79.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fba…499dbacked Yes73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb813…6f87backed Yes76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b38…c84dbacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+72.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d68…8cabbacked Yes16c92.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No77c92$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1620947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6af1…0b91backed No61c90.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Yes23c87.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9110648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…18b0backed Yes59c84.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No60c81.8$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.445455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes39c78.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.571050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+100.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253129%9 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b3…c933backed Yes27c74.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+52.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedf…b69abacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.