Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5738020f4942e54c0124f8b3576d028e383484d26d3f35afefecae5833531771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,769,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,840,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,769,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 58c | 6,530,153$3,790,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790,390.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 42c | 1,364,209$570,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793,244.71 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked No | 42c | 1,223,023$508,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714,353.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked No | 42c | 1,000,000$420,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 42c | 450,000$187,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263,000 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 43c | 400,000$172,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228,000 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 42c | 300,000$125,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,000 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 192,987$81,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,974.53 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 182,766$77,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,992.13 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 42c | 172,414$72,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000.12 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 42c | 170,000$71,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,600 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 42c | 145,000$60,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,350 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 126,470$52,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,599.76 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 43c | 123,900$52,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,976.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 43c | 100,000$43,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,999.96 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 43c | 78,070$33,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,856.6 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 42c | 70,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,600 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 44c | 65,156$28,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,632.75 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 42c | 55,811$23,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,370.13 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 52,036$21,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,100.83 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,499.85 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Yes | 66c | 45,572$29,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,992.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 43c | 44,200$19,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,194 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 42c | 40,000$16,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 42c | 39,060$16,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,845.31 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked No | 43c | 32,146$13,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,460.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 43c | 30,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,200 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked No | 43c | 22,093$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,593.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 43c | 21,120$9,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,038.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed No | 42c | 20,806$8,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,080.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 42c | 20,280$8,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,768.25 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 45c | 20,198$9,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,108.78 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 43c | 20,000$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…55eabacked Yes | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…f032backed Yes | 56c | 19,991$11,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,195.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 42c | 18,888$7,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,955.04 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Yes | 55c | 17,699$9,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,734.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked No | 42c | 14,000$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,169.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 44c | 13,575$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,601.87 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 12,807$7,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,092.44 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 12,728$5,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,330.08 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 42c | 12,585$5,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,299.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 42c | 12,000$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,936.19 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 43c | 11,730$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,686.16 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…698bbacked No | 44c | 10,824$4,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,012.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed No | 42c | 9,998$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,798.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 9,993$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,531.41 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 42c | 9,686$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 40c | 9,447$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.67 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked No | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 8,708$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818.24 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked No | 43c | 8,473$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +48%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 43c | 8,214$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,691.55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 42c | 8,204$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.73 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 42c | 8,000$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,634.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 31c | 7,414$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,128.63 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 45c | 7,337$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,035.33 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 43c | 6,980$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 43c | 6,928$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,968.15 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 57c | 6,684$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 57c | 6,509$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 6,411$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.94 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed53…b946backed Yes | 57c | 6,377$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 43c | 6,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 44c | 6,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.97 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 42c | 5,989$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,488.87 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 5,892$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.31 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Yes | 57c | 5,310$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.95 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Yes | 65c | 4,590$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 42c | 4,270$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.6 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 56c | 4,250$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 43c | 4,030$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.25 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 43c | 4,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 45c | 4,000$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.93 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 3,729$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.71 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 42c | 3,310$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.51 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 42c | 3,300$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.92 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…8dbbbacked Yes | 56c | 3,250$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +237.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 62c | 3,228$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.36 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 61c | 3,033$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.34 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked No | 43c | 3,000$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 43c | 2,937$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.09 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0e…3f36backed Yes | 56c | 2,857$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Yes | 58c | 2,738$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked No | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 35c | 2,701$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.34 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 50c | 2,666$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 24c | 2,596$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.