Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x105a672bd5932df5db79b35909fba8578dcbfc8f051400a9b9893a5ac0474dd8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,007,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $504,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,007,546 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7383…bd0bbacked Yes	0c	59,092$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.09	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	31,809$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.81	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	30,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes	2c	25,582$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.49	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	10c	23,042$2,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,225.12	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	9c	19,080$1,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,641.93	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc410…9201backed Yes	1c	16,516$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	15,077$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.45	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Yes	15c	12,918$1,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,961.11	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	7c	11,984$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac28…0d06backed Yes	1c	9,074$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.42	93	7.5%7 W · 86 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	9c	8,692$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785.98	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	22c	8,297$1,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,862.76	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	7,881$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.78	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	15c	7,557$1,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,167	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf89…a739backed Yes	5c	7,464$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.63	107	15.9%17 W · 90 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02e…8331backed Yes	12c	6,641$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810.25	106	10.4%11 W · 95 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	12c	5,838$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.99	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	0c	5,800$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.27	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	12c	5,752$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.4	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b4…055ebacked Yes	13c	5,516$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.9	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	0c	5,099$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.48	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	5,050$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	0c	5,010$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…e403backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1659…ede3backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…38c7backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	2c	4,990$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.25	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	12c	4,858$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.84	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes	2c	4,770$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	40	0%0 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35bb…6e36backed Yes	11c	4,587$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc201…eeb2backed Yes	1c	4,576$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.83	133	13.5%18 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b2f…7241backed Yes	13c	4,501$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+102.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	16c	4,455$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.43	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	4,195$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.18	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	28c	4,074$1,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.46	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	15c	3,961$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aaa…c18dbacked Yes	13c	3,801$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.21	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+219.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709b…1001backed Yes	7c	3,500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	9c	3,425$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.11	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	11c	3,369$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.65	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	13c	3,289$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.73	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a0…fb10backed Yes	8c	3,200$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	140	26.4%37 W · 103 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	21c	3,055$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	15c	3,001$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.48	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	3,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf833…37f0backed Yes	17c	2,854$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.93	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20fe…7968backed Yes	12c	2,850$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.5	88	19.3%17 W · 71 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…2bdbbacked Yes	3c	2,707$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	11c	2,593$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.61	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	19c	2,512$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.17	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Yes	22c	2,505$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	2,500$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…a9d5backed Yes	13c	2,466$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	1c	2,345$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.06	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…0fa8backed Yes	15c	2,300$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	13c	2,222$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.86	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	17c	2,139$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.14	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb28…2160backed Yes	18c	2,073$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.56	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	8c	2,012$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.19	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	11c	2,000$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.06	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6396…7e87backed Yes	21c	2,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	11c	2,000$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.58	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	13c	2,000$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.29	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	15c	1,950$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.5	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6030…d09cbacked Yes	18c	1,925$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf84f…c8f1backed Yes	18c	1,915$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.8	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	9c	1,900$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.4	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x811e…265cbacked Yes	17c	1,730$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.1	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e7cbacked Yes	14c	1,724$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.2	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	23c	1,700$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.89	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab7…7884backed Yes	17c	1,686$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.29	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf78a…9f65backed Yes	15c	1,666$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.46	133	12.8%17 W · 116 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc77a…8546backed Yes	6c	1,666$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.93	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.13per pick	10cpaid	+130.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e6…b538backed Yes	18c	1,658$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.88	90	22.2%20 W · 70 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb525…e7c9backed Yes	10c	1,560$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.93	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+167.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6a3…df40backed Yes	10c	1,558$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.8	116	24.1%28 W · 88 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9523…56e0backed Yes	10c	1,551$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	59	8.5%5 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes	3c	1,530$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.8	244	12.7%31 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	1,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	1,464$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.74	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe6…7c8fbacked Yes	14c	1,454$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…9dafbacked Yes	16c	1,446$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.22	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes	9c	1,409$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.11	96	9.4%9 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes	18c	1,400$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.61	98	9.2%9 W · 89 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x742e…d945backed Yes	15c	1,400$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	62	21%13 W · 49 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	12c	1,383$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	18c	1,364$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc296…0f22backed Yes	15c	1,340$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb63…79debacked Yes	12c	1,300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.49	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	2c	1,252$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.62	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2090…2246backed Yes	16c	1,206$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.24	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	1,204$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.44	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Yes	17c	1,202$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.36	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb8…89b9backed Yes	7c	1,200$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	93	32.3%30 W · 63 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-45%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb0…27f8backed Yes	7c	1,200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	116	18.1%21 W · 95 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event