Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x896a6af4a1a2685a17612cf42474151a68960cb4c1ffbe013bf4984eb63d8b7b

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,254,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $828,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,254,539 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 634 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	57,151$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.96	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes	6c	45,253$2,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,502.82	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43f6…ee3ebacked Yes	0c	41,000$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	27c	35,876$9,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,681.27	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	16c	30,187$4,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,829.48	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	17c	24,282$4,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,105.13	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes	10c	23,864$2,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,409.43	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7383…bd0bbacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	17c	17,360$2,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,951.45	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x627f…f83abacked Yes	37c	12,799$4,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,778	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	1c	11,453$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.38	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	10,500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	11c	10,118$1,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,138.74	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8aa…a2ccbacked Yes	26c	7,947$2,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,046.6	75	36%27 W · 48 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Yes	27c	7,741$2,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,081.3	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	8c	7,633$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.34	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf89…a739backed Yes	13c	7,464$983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.06	107	15.9%17 W · 90 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	12c	7,250$879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.5	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	6,795$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.06	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	6,500$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	6,147$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.44	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x709b…1001backed Yes	16c	6,000$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.69	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	5,800$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.28	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	10c	5,087$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.87	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	10c	5,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	8c	4,979$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.8	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	1c	4,943$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.77	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	21c	4,879$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.14	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe24f…bae5backed Yes	2c	4,762$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.13	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	22c	4,521$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.29	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	2c	4,502$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.18	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf6…cdbebacked Yes	1c	4,477$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	21c	4,404$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.11	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes	1c	4,273$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	40	0%0 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	31c	4,200$1,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,281.99	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	75c	4,200$3,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.99	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	79c	4,095$3,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$853.42	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes	37c	4,083$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.59	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	4,050$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	14c	4,002$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.63	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	4,000$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	9c	3,625$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.24	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9331…4b41backed Yes	12c	3,568$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.59	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	24c	3,550$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.57	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	26c	3,533$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	15c	3,302$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.77	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	3,300$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	34c	3,282$1,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100.63	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf78a…9f65backed Yes	22c	3,198$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.26	133	12.8%17 W · 116 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	16c	3,070$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.09	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe5e…8054backed Yes	13c	3,037$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.93	92	22.8%21 W · 71 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+151.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	3,001$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.75	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	35c	3,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	12c	2,884$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.86	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9eaa…3feabacked Yes	23c	2,866$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.25	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked Yes	1c	2,857$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	18c	2,831$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.66	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	77c	2,800$2,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$642.99	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed No	79c	2,624$2,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.12	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	27c	2,583$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.85	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e7cbacked Yes	22c	2,572$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.54	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	5c	2,553$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.56	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	15c	2,519$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.34	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	8c	2,500$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.6	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…0fa8backed Yes	40c	2,433$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.07	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb28…2160backed Yes	19c	2,400$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.98	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	12c	2,386$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.74	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe7…4362backed Yes	20c	2,229$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.56	90	15.6%14 W · 76 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	31c	2,061$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.24	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	7c	2,050$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.5	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	4c	2,046$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.29	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	11c	2,041$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.51	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	3c	2,000$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	3c	2,000$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64b4…055ebacked Yes	25c	1,985$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.66	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	23c	1,950$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.5	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c2…55d6backed No	79c	1,941$1,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.93	40	70%28 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	71cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5313…9309backed Yes	1c	1,900$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf833…37f0backed Yes	14c	1,900$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.98	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	67c	1,889$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.01	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb525…e7c9backed Yes	13c	1,857$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.31	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+167.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,850$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b8b…9eb6backed Yes	10c	1,764$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.58	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab9…19c0backed Yes	1c	1,760$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb63…79debacked Yes	15c	1,760$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.84	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	29c	1,750$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes	12c	1,740$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.1	244	12.7%31 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed No	59c	1,732$1,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.24	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	16c	1,700$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.15	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…55cabacked No	77c	1,699$1,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.08	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67dc…a482backed No	68c	1,666$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.18	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab7…7884backed Yes	17c	1,660$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	15c	1,576$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.9	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8733…9814backed Yes	1c	1,557$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.56	34	5.9%2 W · 32 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7dd…6a2cbacked No	77c	1,545$1,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	131	26.7%35 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…99abbacked Yes	20c	1,508$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.67	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9523…56e0backed Yes	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	59	8.5%5 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	1c	1,500$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event