TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x43f6…ee3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Johan Manzambi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$218.13
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$515.71
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$18.65
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.65
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Ecuador leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.36
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$47.88
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$6.56
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$416.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmanebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$353.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$14.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winnerbacked InterActive Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.