NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a8b1671ba0d39d660519bc5f47c9bc41bd2462c0c834b3cf83e39dba5a0fe28

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spursof Spurs, Mavericks
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $729,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $731,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $729,932 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Spurs	48c	552,041$264,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287,424.05	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks	52c	311,151$161,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161,798.34	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks	52c	200,000$104,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104,000	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs	46c	46,006$21,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,795.49	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Mavericks	53c	42,000$22,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,259.98	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Mavericks	52c	30,000$15,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,599.93	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks	51c	29,911$15,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,254.52	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Mavericks	56c	21,619$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,000	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-12.4wins	-0.26per pick	52cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Spurs	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,200	207	44.9%93 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Spurs	48c	19,583$9,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,183.33	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks	53c	13,280$7,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,038.27	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Spurs	47c	10,500$4,935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,565	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Mavericks	53c	9,000$4,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,770	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Mavericks	53c	9,000$4,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,769.99	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs	43c	8,806$3,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,033.79	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Spurs	49c	8,400$4,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,284	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs	45c	4,960$2,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,727.94	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Mavericks	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	214	46.7%100 W · 114 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Mavericks	54c	3,811$2,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,057.59	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks	53c	3,796$2,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,012.12	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs	47c	3,718$1,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,952.82	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Mavericks	55c	3,636$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-20%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Mavericks	54c	2,778$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs	47c	2,603$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,377.44	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs	47c	2,488$1,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Spurs	48c	2,120$1,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,102.4	171	62.6%107 W · 64 L	+10.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs	46c	1,934$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,053.72	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Mavericks	29c	1,900$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554	448	21.4%96 W · 352 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307c…aca6backed Spurs	48c	1,458$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$758.33	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spurs	45c	1,054$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.89	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs	47c	948.81$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.87	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Mavericks	53c	943.4$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Mavericks	54c	928.39$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.61	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Mavericks	53c	680.82$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.83	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Spurs	48c	625$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Mavericks	54c	550$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297	244	42.6%104 W · 140 L	-17.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Mavericks	76c	512.31$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.01	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks	52c	492.62$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.5	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs	41c	489.76$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.56	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Mavericks	70c	483.99$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.95	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d35…e83ebacked Mavericks	54c	479.72$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.05	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks	50c	479.23$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.41	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Mavericks	66c	399.99$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.99	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-6.2wins	-0.14per pick	59cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0735…4d2cbacked Mavericks	3c	385.12$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Spurs	68c	364.56$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.66	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Mavericks	55c	363.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs	37c	314.98$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.27	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Spurs	48c	312.5$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.5	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…9113backed Mavericks	66c	303.01$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs	47c	275.94$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.98	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Mavericks	53c	275.49$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.06	470	45.1%212 W · 258 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x659f…220cbacked Spurs	47c	253.19$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.19	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Mavericks	69c	242.71$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	124	58.9%73 W · 51 L	+8.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Mavericks	54c	231.56$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.9	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs	51c	218.65$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.34	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Spurs	47c	204.26$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.26	324	50.6%164 W · 160 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Mavericks	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Spurs	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Mavericks	54c	183.79$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.25	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks	50c	170.18$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.52	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70cf…f491backed Mavericks	65c	164.98$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda1f…1f77backed Mavericks	66c	151.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	57cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Mavericks	66c	151.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Mavericks	49c	150$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	109	45%49 W · 60 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cfe…2fd8backed Spurs	45c	146.18$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.4	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Spurs	52c	142.99$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.64	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Spurs	48c	140.87$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.25	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Mavericks	54c	139.51$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.69	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs	46c	120.25$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.46	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x243d…c2ecbacked Mavericks	55c	112.98$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Spurs	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc259…3c4fbacked Spurs	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfc…0a65backed Spurs	67c	104.48$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.48	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Spurs	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Mavericks	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Mavericks	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	233	50.6%118 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Spurs	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	228	50.9%116 W · 112 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Mavericks	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	354	47.7%169 W · 185 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Spurs	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f6…ee3ebacked Mavericks	55c	99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.94	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Spurs	55c	98.29$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.69	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Spurs	46c	96.17$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.02	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Spurs	40c	79$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.54	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c00…741dbacked Mavericks	64c	78.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb0…8cc7backed Mavericks	53c	74.81$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-50%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Spurs	48c	72$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.44	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Mavericks	53c	70$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.1	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Spurs	68c	67.46$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.59	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Spurs	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9932…f309backed Spurs	32c	62.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Spurs	47c	62$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.02	243	30.5%74 W · 169 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed Mavericks	54c	61.19$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.04	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Spurs	46c	57.63$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.93	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Mavericks	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Mavericks	54c	56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Spurs	47c	51.21$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.21	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed Mavericks	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	115	45.2%52 W · 63 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64f1…fc6ebacked Mavericks	65c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafbd…432dbacked Mavericks	75c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	192	58.3%112 W · 80 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Mavericks	53c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	173	49.1%85 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5No won
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
Spurs vs. MavericksSpurs won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event