NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab677727978c119dc924dded4368adc2fa41de6b063f8fb518c24b12ee3f85f5

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spursof Spurs, Mavericks
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $154,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $154,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,165 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Mavericks	44c	55,504$24,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,407.52	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Spurs	52c	30,769$16,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,769.23	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs	55c	25,629$13,991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,637.98	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks	48c	20,000$9,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,599.98	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Spurs	56c	14,954$8,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,579.58	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Spurs	56c	13,202$7,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,808.88	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Mavericks	47c	10,213$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-4.1wins	-0.14per pick	59cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,799.99	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs	53c	8,962$4,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,212.26	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Mavericks	47c	6,370$2,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,994	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-12.4wins	-0.26per pick	52cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x87c1…1d3cbacked Mavericks	48c	6,223$2,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,986.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs	56c	5,315$2,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,341.8	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Mavericks	44c	5,202$2,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,288.84	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Mavericks	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	139	54.7%76 W · 63 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Spurs	52c	3,420$1,767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,652.73	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Mavericks	43c	3,026$1,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,301	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Spurs	55c	2,750$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250.16	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Spurs	56c	2,742$1,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,206.6	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Spurs	59c	2,439$1,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…6b51backed Spurs	52c	2,300$1,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,104	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff17…bf84backed Spurs	52c	2,223$1,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,066.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks	47c	2,146$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.26	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs	54c	1,905$1,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.23	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Mavericks	49c	1,820$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.12	416	52.2%217 W · 199 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3183…c827backed Spurs	52c	1,700$884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs	54c	1,578$851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$727.44	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs	52c	1,427$742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$684.96	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks	45c	1,413$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.34	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Spurs	51c	1,373$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672.55	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs	55c	1,345$743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602.63	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Spurs	56c	1,000$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Mavericks	48c	873.13$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.1	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Spurs	52c	817$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.56	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Spurs	59c	762.71$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.71	265	53.2%141 W · 124 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Spurs	56c	714.29$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.29	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Spurs	55c	605.31$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.39	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs	54c	551.73$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.33	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Spurs	56c	492.86$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.86	324	50.6%164 W · 160 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Mavericks	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Spurs	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	235	53.6%126 W · 109 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs	55c	371.15$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.88	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs	54c	291.42$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.2	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks	48c	254.88$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.67	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Mavericks	48c	250$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Spurs	56c	250$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Spurs	55c	249.99$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.49	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Mavericks	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Mavericks	44c	207.15$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.29	470	45.1%212 W · 258 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Spurs	55c	206.81$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.89	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Spurs	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed Spurs	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Spurs	55c	196.57$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.57	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Spurs	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	160	30.6%49 W · 111 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Spurs	59c	167.81$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.8	72	61.1%44 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Spurs	56c	133.93$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.93	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+4.7wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Mavericks	49c	122.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	242	50.8%123 W · 119 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Spurs	46c	120$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.8	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Mavericks	45c	116$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.2	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…e0dbbacked Spurs	52c	115.36$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.37	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mavericks	37c	109$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.15	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Mavericks	48c	99.97$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.99	387	40.3%156 W · 231 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs	55c	98.15$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.17	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs	52c	98$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.46	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Spurs	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ca…6413backed Mavericks	45c	88.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Mavericks	48c	81.9$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.04	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Spurs	54c	76.91$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.38	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Mavericks	47c	76.79$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.09	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Spurs	53c	76.17$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.8	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6677…575cbacked Spurs	54c	69.61$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.02	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2040…70f4backed Spurs	56c	66.07$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.07	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Spurs	56c	58.93$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.93	493	58.6%289 W · 204 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Spurs	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	230	51.3%118 W · 112 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Spurs	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80bd…1f70backed Mavericks	45c	55.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb19…122ebacked Mavericks	48c	52.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.32per pick	41cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x76e7…1872backed Mavericks	48c	51.04$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.38	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Mavericks	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Mavericks	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Spurs	57c	49.84$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.58	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Spurs	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	293	48.5%142 W · 151 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Mavericks	50c	43.09$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Spurs	52c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.4	236	51.7%122 W · 114 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Mavericks	51c	38.87$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	367	51.5%189 W · 178 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x972c…c2e2backed Spurs	59c	38.54$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.8	18	83.3%15 W · 3 L	+4.8wins	+0.27per pick	56cpaid	+54%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks	46c	37.9$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.26	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs	47c	36.31$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.24	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Spurs	54c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Mavericks	61c	32.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Spurs	51c	31$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.34	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef45…3976backed Mavericks	48c	30.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-49%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mavericks	48c	30.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e9…d630backed Mavericks	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-5.3wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Mavericks	46c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Mavericks	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x935d…4605backed Spurs	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	51	62.7%32 W · 19 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8bd…6504backed Spurs	51c	29.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Spurs	58c	28.58$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.97	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Spurs	55c	28.14$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.57	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5No won
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
Spurs vs. MavericksSpurs won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event