NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eb1c10c37dda791a22ebb3a68b292c5aa5e37b106dde96f8dd86e9d18a7a44c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $728,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $731,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $728,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 435,173$222,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,782.36 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 350,000$171,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 52c | 155,173$80,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,482.9 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Under | 48c | 110,000$52,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +66%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 48c | 80,000$38,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,400 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 53c | 37,713$19,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,724.99 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 49c | 12,000$5,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,820 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Over | 52c | 11,168$5,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,360.6 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.39 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 48c | 10,982$5,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,321.59 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 53c | 10,765$5,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.34 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 10,406$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.81 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.99 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.94 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Under | 47c | 6,720$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.4 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Over | 53c | 6,544$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.68 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.94 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 55c | 4,587$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.43 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 4,073$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Under | 51c | 1,998$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 53c | 1,660$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.38 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 70c | 1,575$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.89 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,504$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.43 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 995$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.6 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Over | 52c | 813.98$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.37 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Over | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 51c | 668.45$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.62 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 653.6$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.99 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 651$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.48 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 577.85$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Under | 49c | 533.16$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 520.74$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Under | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 54c | 472.74$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.74 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 425.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.49 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 54c | 416.67$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.67 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Under | 51c | 376.47$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…e89abacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…35b5backed Under | 9c | 349.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Over | 51c | 338.67$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.95 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…c6adbacked Over | 53c | 330$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Under | 47c | 310.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 52c | 303.44$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.65 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…bd2abacked Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Over | 53c | 249.51$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 55c | 226.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 226.47$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…78a5backed Under | 46c | 215.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5e…cbfdbacked Under | 48c | 202.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Over | 53c | 182.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 53c | 168$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 159.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Over | 52c | 155.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 53c | 152.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…f92cbacked Over | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 128.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…5ce2backed Over | 53c | 117.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…65c3backed Over | 53c | 117.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Over | 53c | 117.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Over | 53c | 113.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Over | 49c | 108.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 51c | 107$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 49c | 104.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 102.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Over | 51c | 98.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…6cadbacked Under | 48c | 91.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 49c | 88.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…68dfbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. MavericksSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.