NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Mavericks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe81d96e7b985ef99724a6b4e822e0ae1a3d627e905c4c88ddb4dcfc472fec149

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spursof Spurs, Mavericks
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,226,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,425,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,226,950 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,062 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bd7…373ebacked Mavericks	27c	370,370$100,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,999.84	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks	27c	209,019$56,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,859.23	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Spurs	73c	183,333$133,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,499.91	195	60%117 W · 78 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac7…e0efbacked Spurs	73c	125,000$91,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,750	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Mavericks	27c	70,000$18,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,900	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Spurs	73c	68,766$50,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,566.81	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs	76c	68,491$52,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,223.3	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs	72c	62,675$44,988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,687.19	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks	27c	59,736$16,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,128.66	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs	72c	52,767$38,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,543.67	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs	74c	50,283$37,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,149.56	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Spurs	73c	50,000$36,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,499.99	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks	29c	50,000$14,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,499.97	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Mavericks	26c	48,503$12,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,610.67	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks	20c	46,192$9,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,020.93	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Spurs	75c	44,536$33,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,279.54	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Mavericks	27c	40,000$10,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,800	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Mavericks	27c	40,000$10,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,600	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Mavericks	26c	37,661$9,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,791.78	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs	73c	37,500$27,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,125	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Spurs	72c	35,000$25,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,699.98	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Mavericks	28c	34,997$9,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,655.16	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Spurs	72c	33,000$23,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,239.95	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks	1c	31,475$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.13	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs	73c	30,000$21,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,099.99	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs	72c	28,610$20,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,913.33	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Mavericks	27c	26,000$7,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,020	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Mavericks	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs	73c	20,785$15,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,650.27	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks	27c	20,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,400	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs	73c	17,301$12,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,691.14	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Spurs	73c	15,000$10,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,022.33	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a58…61f0backed Spurs	73c	14,500$10,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,915	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Spurs	73c	13,752$10,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,713.05	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Spurs	73c	13,499$9,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,644.57	174	54%94 W · 80 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mavericks	24c	12,464$2,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,948.92	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs	73c	11,891$8,678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,212.59	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Spurs	73c	11,818$8,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,190.78	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Spurs	72c	11,443$8,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,204.12	478	56.5%270 W · 208 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Spurs	74c	11,223$8,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,922.99	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Spurs	74c	10,010$7,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,602.6	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mavericks	25c	10,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Mavericks	26c	10,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79de…e4bebacked Mavericks	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Mavericks	26c	10,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Mavericks	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+76.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Spurs	74c	8,824$6,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,294.31	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks	20c	8,335$1,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,655.3	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Mavericks	30c	8,333$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	154	35.7%55 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Spurs	73c	8,100$5,913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,187	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Mavericks	18c	8,008$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,472.69	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcaad…561ebacked Spurs	74c	8,000$5,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks	29c	8,000$2,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,299	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Spurs	73c	7,284$5,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,961.69	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs	80c	6,954$5,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,393.37	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks	1c	6,751$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.51	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Spurs	73c	6,487$4,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,751.42	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks	20c	6,214$1,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,265.02	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78be…9218backed Mavericks	18c	5,962$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.72	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Mavericks	8c	5,605$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.58	448	21.4%96 W · 352 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mavericks	25c	5,487$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,359.97	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0a…4363backed Spurs	73c	5,258$3,838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,419.6	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e62…ef0fbacked Mavericks	14c	5,128$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.29	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08fa…a865backed Spurs	73c	5,023$3,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,356.27	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	33cpaid	+90.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Spurs	73c	5,000$3,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Mavericks	9c	5,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	91	17.6%16 W · 75 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Mavericks	26c	5,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Mavericks	34c	4,682$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579.45	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Mavericks	27c	4,549$1,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,228.34	337	35.3%119 W · 218 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks	23c	4,449$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.9	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Mavericks	28c	4,425$1,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,236.54	209	47.8%100 W · 109 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Mavericks	34c	4,341$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,472.65	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs	73c	4,138$3,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,119.4	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Mavericks	10c	4,083$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.7	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Mavericks	28c	4,071$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125.52	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Mavericks	28c	4,001$1,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,135.79	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Spurs	74c	4,000$2,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks	27c	4,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Mavericks	27c	4,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	139	54.7%76 W · 63 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Mavericks	27c	4,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	214	46.7%100 W · 114 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Spurs	66c	4,000$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,360	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Spurs	73c	3,882$2,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,067.65	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-4.6wins	-0.18per pick	56cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs	73c	3,881$2,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,047.93	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0a…24a9backed Mavericks	25c	3,869$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952.01	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Spurs	80c	3,834$3,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$767.22	61	65.6%40 W · 21 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Spurs	73c	3,750$2,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012.5	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mavericks	25c	3,665$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.51	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks	28c	3,567$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.36	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs	79c	3,535$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735.13	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Mavericks	14c	3,436$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498	458	38%174 W · 284 L	+15.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Spurs	73c	3,333$2,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.91	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b0…4055backed Mavericks	29c	3,202$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.58	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ddd…f58dbacked Spurs	71c	3,198$2,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.4	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Spurs	76c	3,169$2,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.76	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4989…8ff0backed Spurs	70c	3,089$2,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.26	67	71.6%48 W · 19 L	+7.3wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks	1c	3,028$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.28	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Mavericks	27c	3,000$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Spurs	72c	2,864$2,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.41	626	52.2%327 W · 299 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Spurs	73c	2,800$2,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756	203	55.2%112 W · 91 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b02…b95fbacked Spurs	75c	2,780$2,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.79	117	66.7%78 W · 39 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spurs vs. Mavericksthis page
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5No won
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spurs vs. Mavericks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event