TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Over50c84,475$42,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,237.6326253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under50c80,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,00024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00011252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c9,164$4,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,517.579,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c6,577$3,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,260.092,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under50c6,120$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06020948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c4,902$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.961,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over52c4,260$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.0144352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under50c3,652$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80931644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over49c2,947$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over52c2,943$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.5742648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00076249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over52c1,429$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.8524450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under48c1,354$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Over51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5882339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c1,119$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.354,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c1,093$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.012,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over52c1,052$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.551,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under50c850$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42561740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over53c754.91$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9126640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over74c579.26$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c568.65$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.863,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over50c422.37$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1955846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Under50c400.81$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.427536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9bd4…35b5backed Under9c349.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30270%0 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13837930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under50c300$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over52c276.47$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4718055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Over51c261.88$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3214450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Under48c249$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5211451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c240$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over51c222$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.781,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3117758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Over51c189.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7218254.4%99 W · 83 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over53c188.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9426553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over51c177.28$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8720448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c146$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.165,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under53c135.2$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5327943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3833837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over51c108.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1321948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0428245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c97.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.153945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe90…5ce2backed Over51c85.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.975752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Over51c85.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.977256.9%41 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over51c82.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5721753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over51c82.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5717155.6%95 W · 76 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd56d…5c46backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3cc…c029backed Over51c79.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8916250%81 W · 81 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over51c64.64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.679455.3%52 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Under50c62.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0311748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176e…af0bbacked Over50c56.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.341275%9 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+60.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over51c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.721,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under50c55.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2853043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c55.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c51.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.811,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c6…234cbacked Over53c51.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.483661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511420.2%23 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x193e…76ebbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0214352.4%75 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over51c46.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.83,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under50c41.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0525143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe0…027abacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3be…4cd6backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb253…6575backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203275%24 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2247852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c1…8c6bbacked Over51c39.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.211442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c37.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.863,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed Over51c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.686241.9%26 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Under50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.719050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf1…47a4backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157250%36 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158537.6%32 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecc…6b37backed Under48c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.394050%20 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under50c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7135049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under50c28.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4332952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x407f…d62abacked Over51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.741471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf97…4653backed Under47c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.342646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Over51c21.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4610761.7%66 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.