TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24c6…234c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$9.74
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$15
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.98
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.9%+$20.73
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$67.19
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55.3
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+89.4%+$24.48
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$25.38
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$73.78
Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+116%+$23.38
Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$43.45
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$73.39
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$7.98
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$125
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$115
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$154
UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Basharat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.4%+$56.08
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Price · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Souza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+90.7%+$81.63
UFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Wiklacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.3%+$57.81
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$22.1
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+34.9%+$57.82
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+34.8%+$27.68
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elekana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+59.9%+$33.88
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.51
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+107.7%+$66.85
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+125.5%+$13.43
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.98
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Akron Zipsbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Long Beach State Beachbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+25%+$5.75
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63%+$44.1
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsbacked Le Moyne Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.2%+$36.39
Chicago State Cougars vs. New Haven Chargersbacked New Haven Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35.78
Belmont Bruins vs. UIC Flamesbacked Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Murray State Racers vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$29.12
Elon Phoenix vs. Hampton Piratesbacked Elon Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Wagner Seahawksbacked Le Moyne Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Albany Great Danes vs. Bryant Bulldogs: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Boston Terriers vs. Holy Cross Crusaders: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Wofford Terriersbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$77.14
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.06
Albany Great Danes vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$33.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.