Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhorns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20208eed16282e6a6e861952411445c5949ba869bbf0043681fcfa9fda372447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Longhornsof Ole Miss Rebels, Texas Longhorns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 23c | 2,780$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 2,700$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Longhorns | 61c | 2,247$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.87 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Ole Miss Rebels | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…78cfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 39c | 1,923$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Longhorns | 64c | 1,416$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.81 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Texas Longhorns | 64c | 1,160$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.68 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…8edcbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 25c | 1,050$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Ole Miss Rebels | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Texas Longhorns | 71c | 999.49$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.23 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 974.49$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.58 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 921.78$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.45 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Longhorns | 79c | 784.72$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 39c | 614.22$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Texas Longhorns | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Texas Longhorns | 57c | 465.61$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 38c | 401.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ole Miss Rebels | 39c | 381.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Texas Longhorns | 57c | 326.8$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Longhorns | 67c | 321.3$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Texas Longhorns | 60c | 257$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Texas Longhorns | 58c | 233.24$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Texas Longhorns | 56c | 232.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.61 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Ole Miss Rebels | 46c | 217.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Ole Miss Rebels | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Texas Longhorns | 68c | 196.31$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Ole Miss Rebels | 19c | 189.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ole Miss Rebels | 14c | 188$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Ole Miss Rebels | 34c | 182.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Longhorns | 65c | 166.01$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Ole Miss Rebels | 16c | 157$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 38c | 155$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Texas Longhorns | 66c | 151.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed Texas Longhorns | 61c | 147.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Ole Miss Rebels | 20c | 129.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Texas Longhorns | 61c | 122$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…234cbacked Texas Longhorns | 61c | 114.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Texas Longhorns | 68c | 110.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Ole Miss Rebels | 36c | 110.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Ole Miss Rebels | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 100.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Ole Miss Rebels | 44c | 95.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Texas Longhorns | 71c | 92.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Texas Longhorns | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 39c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 77.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas Longhorns | 66c | 77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 73.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x517e…4fb2backed Texas Longhorns | 57c | 68.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Ole Miss Rebels | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e4…ec34backed Ole Miss Rebels | 40c | 50.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ole Miss Rebels | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Ole Miss Rebels | 47c | 41.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Texas Longhorns | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 29c | 34.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Texas Longhorns | 65c | 28.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhornsthis page
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-8.5)Texas Longhorns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.