UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33b72a09c208ef58ea171fad9f13cdc82b79d9aa96e67fefbfc9a604c766e3d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kunievof Kuniev, Almeida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $778,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $857,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $778,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 502 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kuniev | 38c | 176,243$66,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,270.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Almeida | 60c | 90,000$53,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,699.94 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Almeida | 62c | 80,000$49,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,600 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Almeida | 61c | 71,463$43,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,432.66 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Almeida | 62c | 63,838$39,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,579.38 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kuniev | 40c | 55,303$22,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,169.68 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kuniev | 40c | 47,026$18,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,270.6 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Almeida | 62c | 45,127$28,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,010.34 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Kuniev | 74c | 40,891$30,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,833.99 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Almeida | 62c | 40,000$24,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,799.98 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Kuniev | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,599.84 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kuniev | 39c | 26,863$10,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,269.46 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Almeida | 60c | 26,136$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600.03 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…c096backed Kuniev | 39c | 19,200$7,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,712 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kuniev | 40c | 17,130$6,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,278.11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Almeida | 61c | 16,790$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,300 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Almeida | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,849.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Kuniev | 38c | 14,948$5,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,229.64 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Almeida | 2c | 14,333$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.66 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Almeida | 60c | 12,826$7,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,695.6 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kuniev | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kuniev | 40c | 12,121$4,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300.19 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Kuniev | 38c | 11,500$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,110 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Almeida | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kuniev | 38c | 10,000$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,175 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Kuniev | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.99 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Almeida | 62c | 9,177$5,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,689.79 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Almeida | 59c | 8,398$4,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920.9 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Kuniev | 37c | 6,426$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.64 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kuniev | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Almeida | 52c | 5,309$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.04 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Almeida | 3c | 5,175$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.86 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kuniev | 40c | 5,100$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Kuniev | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Kuniev | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Kuniev | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Kuniev | 41c | 4,900$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.98 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Kuniev | 42c | 4,810$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.53 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Kuniev | 40c | 3,982$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.86 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Almeida | 61c | 3,896$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.63 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Almeida | 59c | 3,850$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.48 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Kuniev | 42c | 3,782$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.52 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kuniev | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.54 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Almeida | 32c | 3,644$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.18 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Almeida | 8c | 3,504$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.9 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Kuniev | 39c | 3,338$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.95 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Almeida | 62c | 3,302$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.96 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…1783backed Kuniev | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Almeida | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kuniev | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.99 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Almeida | 64c | 2,759$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Almeida | 62c | 2,666$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.92 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Kuniev | 40c | 2,633$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.12 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacd2…29a2backed Almeida | 33c | 2,622$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Kuniev | 39c | 2,601$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Almeida | 41c | 2,573$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.7 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kuniev | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Almeida | 58c | 2,380$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.61 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Almeida | 59c | 2,338$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.64 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Kuniev | 41c | 2,263$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.14 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kuniev | 58c | 2,182$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.99 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Kuniev | 38c | 2,100$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.98 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked Kuniev | 42c | 2,000$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Kuniev | 67c | 1,901$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.13 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Almeida | 8c | 1,888$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Almeida | 42c | 1,820$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.39 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Kuniev | 54c | 1,656$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.67 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Kuniev | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Almeida | 59c | 1,537$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Almeida | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kuniev | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.96 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kuniev | 40c | 1,490$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.7 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…eeb1backed Kuniev | 69c | 1,441$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…f14cbacked Almeida | 63c | 1,403$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Kuniev | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Kuniev | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Kuniev | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.02 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Kuniev | 38c | 1,274$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.81 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Almeida | 45c | 1,270$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.19 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kuniev | 42c | 1,189$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.62 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Almeida | 62c | 1,161$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b3…f0bebacked Almeida | 59c | 1,131$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…c9e8backed Kuniev | 44c | 1,129$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.82 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Almeida | 9c | 1,075$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Kuniev | 39c | 1,036$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.76 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Kuniev | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Almeida | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Almeida | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Kuniev | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Kuniev | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Kuniev | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Kuniev | 39c | 958$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.38 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Almeida | 32c | 927$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Kuniev | 65c | 912.71$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.07 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Almeida | 54c | 883.54$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.62 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Almeida | 62c | 830$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…363dbacked Almeida | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Kuniev | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Kuniev | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1dc5backed Almeida | 59c | 678$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.02 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Jailton Almeida win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Rizvan Kuniev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.