TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Chicago State Cougars vs. New Haven Chargers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago State Cougarsof Chicago State Cougars, New Haven Chargers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$349,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$351,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c5d…c55fbacked Chicago State Cougars24c160,500$38,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,980742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+24.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…bcccbacked New Haven Chargers76c160,500$121,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,980742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x811b…ff1ebacked Chicago State Cougars30c4,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…14f4backed New Haven Chargers70c4,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New Haven Chargers26c1,302$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.721,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New Haven Chargers61c1,275$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.653,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda6…925abacked New Haven Chargers40c1,195$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.781136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Chicago State Cougars30c1,097$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.624738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed New Haven Chargers30c818.78$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.635024%12 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Chicago State Cougars75c812.31$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.855,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked New Haven Chargers29c797.17$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.81,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago State Cougars30c739.77$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.842,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed New Haven Chargers40c737$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.352,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked New Haven Chargers31c703.68$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.59745.4%44 W · 53 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Chicago State Cougars32c703.13$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.1356444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Chicago State Cougars70c679.73$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.381,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6756…8edcbacked Chicago State Cougars38c657.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.073023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked New Haven Chargers68c591.48$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.7481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Chicago State Cougars31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34542246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed New Haven Chargers70c439$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.1623754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago State Cougars70c438.47$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.541,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Chicago State Cougars69c350$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.731,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Chicago State Cougars76c309.24$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.81,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed New Haven Chargers21c303.26$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.53145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked New Haven Chargers33c302.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed New Haven Chargers37c267.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed New Haven Chargers39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked New Haven Chargers43c250.27$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed New Haven Chargers59c249.61$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2710846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed New Haven Chargers46c245.09$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5638345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Chicago State Cougars32c235$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.74427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed New Haven Chargers67c231$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1544955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d1…a379backed New Haven Chargers47c229.83$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1075457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New Haven Chargers11c222.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.391,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a78…1e03backed New Haven Chargers35c222.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Chicago State Cougars31c217.86$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9518230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed New Haven Chargers36c211.96$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1468254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed New Haven Chargers6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Chicago State Cougars28c199.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.981,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Chicago State Cougars69c171.84$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.873,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Chicago State Cougars31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.296756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed New Haven Chargers69c150.46$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.951,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c0…e43ebacked Chicago State Cougars72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+41.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago State Cougars50c136.4$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.274,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Chicago State Cougars69c108$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2761446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed New Haven Chargers51c107.73$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.072528%7 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Chicago State Cougars77c106.69$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Haven Chargers18c102.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.191,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc916…2ee5backed New Haven Chargers71c97.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x095b…6f34backed New Haven Chargers32c96.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.132236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24c6…234cbacked New Haven Chargers16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed New Haven Chargers39c87.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3419237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked New Haven Chargers70c85.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Chicago State Cougars31c85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.232,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930c…9b54backed New Haven Chargers70c82.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.48540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Chicago State Cougars30c79.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Chicago State Cougars38c78.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.821651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadad…5857backed New Haven Chargers70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Chicago State Cougars29c69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9921443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Chicago State Cougars30c66.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6525230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Chicago State Cougars53c65.6$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.111,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6c4…b775backed Chicago State Cougars76c61.84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Chicago State Cougars29c59.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed New Haven Chargers71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.52853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked New Haven Chargers41c44.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.065637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca1e…53e3backed New Haven Chargers27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed New Haven Chargers41c36.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.879264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Chicago State Cougars72c34.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.918167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed New Haven Chargers69c34.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.862441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Chicago State Cougars67c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.851,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4abb…1e15backed Chicago State Cougars33c30.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+108.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed New Haven Chargers63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.99259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9190…896dbacked New Haven Chargers65c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked New Haven Chargers70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a92…e2f3backed New Haven Chargers73c27.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x077a…ec51backed New Haven Chargers60c24.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.643956.4%22 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed New Haven Chargers69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.864658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed New Haven Chargers63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.657655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked New Haven Chargers70c17.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1239050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed New Haven Chargers67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.