UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85a74e379ddf128c20c8e5ba39ec3d15307503534ed41cad7f0f94af49aecd89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Souzaof Brasil, Souza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Souza | 57c | 80,802$45,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,807.03 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Brasil | 43c | 24,703$10,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,622.22 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Brasil | 43c | 17,500$7,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,525 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Souza | 56c | 17,158$9,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,549.65 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Souza | 58c | 12,591$7,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.95 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Brasil | 43c | 12,000$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,179.99 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Brasil | 43c | 11,375$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.25 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Brasil | 44c | 10,530$4,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,633.13 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Souza | 57c | 10,148$5,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,363.45 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Brasil | 42c | 9,685$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.24 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Brasil | 17c | 8,909$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.48 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Brasil | 43c | 8,432$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.78 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Souza | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.77 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Brasil | 43c | 6,300$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.87 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Brasil | 44c | 4,789$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.7 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Brasil | 13c | 4,521$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.06 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Brasil | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.93 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Brasil | 50c | 3,844$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.5 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Brasil | 43c | 3,600$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.81 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Souza | 57c | 3,382$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.61 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Brasil | 25c | 3,342$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.25 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Brasil | 43c | 2,600$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Brasil | 43c | 2,450$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Brasil | 8c | 2,315$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.18 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Souza | 56c | 2,227$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…2c74backed Souza | 58c | 2,152$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Brasil | 51c | 2,096$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.87 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Souza | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Brasil | 27c | 1,947$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.63 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Brasil | 17c | 1,930$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.07 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Brasil | 43c | 1,750$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.5 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Brasil | 44c | 1,710$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.5 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Souza | 57c | 1,614$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Brasil | 43c | 1,598$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Souza | 57c | 1,271$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.53 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Brasil | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Brasil | 29c | 1,108$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.08 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Brasil | 34c | 1,069$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.21 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Souza | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Brasil | 42c | 987.2$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.55 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…5df8backed Brasil | 44c | 981.18$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Brasil | 44c | 959.09$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Souza | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Brasil | 43c | 897.75$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.03 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Brasil | 35c | 887.5$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.82 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Souza | 57c | 757.89$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.89 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Souza | 75c | 750$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Brasil | 43c | 674.46$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Brasil | 43c | 662.32$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Brasil | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Brasil | 9c | 543.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Souza | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Brasil | 25c | 521.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Souza | 57c | 510.24$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.1 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Brasil | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Brasil | 43c | 494.71$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.72 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Souza | 42c | 487.61$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.77 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Souza | 58c | 479.99$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Souza | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Souza | 56c | 409.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.37 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Souza | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Brasil | 42c | 385$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Souza | 74c | 384.3$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Souza | 16c | 361.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.24 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Brasil | 44c | 320.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Brasil | 42c | 319.43$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Souza | 56c | 299.92$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Brasil | 44c | 275.46$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Brasil | 43c | 260.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Souza | 58c | 259.96$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…5f46backed Brasil | 47c | 250.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brasil | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Souza | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Souza | 59c | 235.78$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Souza | 57c | 235.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Brasil | 43c | 235$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Brasil | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Brasil | 48c | 209.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Brasil | 48c | 206.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…70ebbacked Brasil | 48c | 206.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Brasil | 43c | 193.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…ca0bbacked Souza | 57c | 182.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Souza | 57c | 175.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Souza | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Souza | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Souza | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +149%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Souza | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…234cbacked Souza | 52c | 171.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Brasil | 39c | 171$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Souza | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…0720backed Brasil | 42c | 166.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…c096backed Souza | 17c | 159.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Souza | 64c | 156.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Souza | 58c | 153$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…6fc6backed Brasil | 44c | 152.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Brasil | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Souza | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Souza | 58c | 141.38$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Brasil | 43c | 139.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Souza | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.