TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec71…70eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2025%5 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
UFC — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Imanol Rodriguez win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100.1%+$135.12
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Regina Tarin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.9%+$215.33
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Brasil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55
UFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Gafurov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$53
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+52.9%+$52.06
Will Quillan Salkilld win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+83.1%+$35.73
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Malkoun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$86
UFC 325: Sangwook Kim vs. Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Kim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$36
UFC 325: Sebastian Szalay vs. Keiichiro Nakamura (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Szalay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$102.77
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$334
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$112
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$448
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$67
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$63
UFC 324: Fugitt vs. Miller (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Fugitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-7.5)backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Nicholls Colonels vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Spread: Towson Tigers (-7.5)backed Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Towson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Charleston Cougars (-3.5)backed Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+84.6%+$65.99
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5)backed Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Spread: Cal State Fullerton Titans (-3.5)backed Cal State Fullerton Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)backed Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)backed Robert Morris Colonials · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+102%+$50.98
Central Arkansas Bears vs. West Georgia Wolvesbacked Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41.69
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+86.6%+$28.57
Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$29.26
VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$78
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$20.18
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42.72
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Solana reach $150 January 12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$61
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$45.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$135.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$128
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.