Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Cal State Fullerton Titans (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b188893b831b483433fd72d322a07081308b3f1fc6f9ea03239c862f55339ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cal State Fullerton Titansof Cal State Fullerton Titans, Long Beach State Beach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $572,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $572,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 494,118$256,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237,332.96 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Long Beach State Beach | 48c | 300,000$144,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Long Beach State Beach | 48c | 114,576$54,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,996.56 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 35,044$18,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,143.75 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 48c | 27,662$13,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,384.14 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 15,266$7,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,937.36 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 12,600$6,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,048 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 48c | 11,111$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.28 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 48c | 7,000$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.98 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Long Beach State Beach | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Long Beach State Beach | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Long Beach State Beach | 49c | 4,957$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 51c | 4,031$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.98 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.97 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Long Beach State Beach | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Long Beach State Beach | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 1,043$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Long Beach State Beach | 48c | 562.97$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 453.85$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…c342backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 343.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Long Beach State Beach | 49c | 306.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 298.01$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.94 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 49c | 249.59$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 247.24$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.68 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Long Beach State Beach | 42c | 236.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 211.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…0c80backed Long Beach State Beach | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…70ebbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Long Beach State Beach | 14c | 164.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 66c | 126.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 126$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Long Beach State Beach | 48c | 111.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Long Beach State Beach | 50c | 110.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 109.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 100.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Long Beach State Beach | 48c | 100.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2c75backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 83.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Long Beach State Beach | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 50c | 57.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 45c | 54.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…e45dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 46c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…b6d1backed Long Beach State Beach | 49c | 31.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…2a94backed Long Beach State Beach | 48c | 28.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 28.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…241bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…bf76backed Long Beach State Beach | 50c | 23.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…5822backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cal State Fullerton Titans (-3.5)this page
- Long Beach State Beach vs. Cal State Fullerton TitansCal State Fullerton Titans won
- Long Beach State Beach vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Cal State Fullerton Titans (-2.5)Cal State Fullerton Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.