Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Long Beach State Beach vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3474cd23060e9140c314738d23e5cbcfb855b1a9eb0a200c4b3fa42ef534a96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cal State Fullerton Titansof Long Beach State Beach, Cal State Fullerton Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 59c | 2,175$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.86 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 61c | 999.97$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Long Beach State Beach | 33c | 898.49$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.32 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 793.03$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…b28abacked Long Beach State Beach | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Long Beach State Beach | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 454.92$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.77 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Long Beach State Beach | 39c | 409$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.51 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Long Beach State Beach | 20c | 329.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 61c | 326$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.14 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Long Beach State Beach | 39c | 319.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Long Beach State Beach | 39c | 300.01$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 234.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Long Beach State Beach | 41c | 226.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 68c | 204$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 74c | 201.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Long Beach State Beach | 21c | 188.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Long Beach State Beach | 34c | 138$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Long Beach State Beach | 34c | 136$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 134.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 69c | 127.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 124.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Long Beach State Beach | 36c | 111.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Long Beach State Beach | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Long Beach State Beach | 16c | 97.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 78c | 84.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 60c | 66.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Long Beach State Beach | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Long Beach State Beach | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Long Beach State Beach | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 67c | 42.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Long Beach State Beach | 37c | 38.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Long Beach State Beach | 39c | 37.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Long Beach State Beach | 41c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Long Beach State Beach vs. Cal State Fullerton Titansthis page
- Long Beach State Beach vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Cal State Fullerton Titans (-2.5)Cal State Fullerton Titans won
- Spread: Cal State Fullerton Titans (-3.5)Cal State Fullerton Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.