NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaac59bd3c72ba9cebb38b684fc89afcc807c1717b6d59f851b96408b066ac24a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Pistons, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $798,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $802,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $798,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 47c | 504,342$236,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236,989.36 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 53c | 338,097$179,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,905.6 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Suns | 53c | 150,000$79,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,500 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Suns | 55c | 110,690$60,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,267.03 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 52c | 82,105$42,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,352.95 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 45c | 41,630$18,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,733.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…d819backed Pistons | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 47c | 18,653$8,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,696.25 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1702…4666backed Pistons | 48c | 13,958$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Pistons | 48c | 13,710$6,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,526 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b73…18a4backed Pistons | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 47c | 12,424$5,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,781.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Pistons | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Pistons | 46c | 10,761$4,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…5cfabacked Pistons | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Suns | 52c | 10,000$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.98 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pistons | 47c | 9,726$4,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,597.14 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pistons | 45c | 9,092$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,091.47 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…de14backed Pistons | 48c | 8,063$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Suns | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.41 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Pistons | 45c | 7,352$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.31 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…7c89backed Pistons | 48c | 6,665$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 45c | 6,496$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Pistons | 46c | 5,623$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Suns | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…aa56backed Suns | 52c | 4,150$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…5850backed Pistons | 48c | 4,150$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…fd93backed Pistons | 48c | 4,100$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd9…fe8dbacked Suns | 52c | 4,100$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Suns | 51c | 3,892$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.14 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Pistons | 49c | 3,316$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.77 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Suns | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.87 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 35c | 2,774$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 47c | 2,744$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.14 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Suns | 55c | 2,674$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.28 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Suns | 54c | 2,628$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.52 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Suns | 56c | 2,228$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.09 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Pistons | 48c | 2,196$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.84 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 52c | 2,111$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Suns | 54c | 2,037$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.54 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Pistons | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Pistons | 48c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.98 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 52c | 1,977$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.11 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,640$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,503$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.5 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Pistons | 46c | 1,348$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Pistons | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 45c | 1,187$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Suns | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Suns | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Pistons | 42c | 827.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Suns | 53c | 729.72$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Suns | 53c | 729.72$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 45c | 666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pistons | 49c | 610.2$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Suns | 52c | 586.53$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.53 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Suns | 52c | 534.6$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.61 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Pistons | 45c | 528.89$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Suns | 54c | 523.34$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Suns | 52c | 499.97$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 47c | 498.1$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.36 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Suns | 54c | 484.3$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.78 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Pistons | 49c | 408.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns | 52c | 400.13$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.92 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Pistons | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Suns | 52c | 382$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.36 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pistons | 7c | 339.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Pistons | 28c | 337.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Suns | 56c | 316.07$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Suns | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Suns | 54c | 313.63$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.27 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Pistons | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Pistons | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Suns | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns | 53c | 251.88$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Suns | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pistons | 31c | 236.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Suns | 53c | 230.04$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…d6c9backed Pistons | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Pistons | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…42c6backed Pistons | 51c | 200.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Pistons | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons | 50c | 193$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Suns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Suns | 53c | 188.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Suns | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 48c | 181.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…70ebbacked Suns | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Pistons | 46c | 176.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons | 46c | 165.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Suns | 53c | 148.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…9a42backed Suns | 53c | 135.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 47c | 127.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Suns | 25c | 122.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Suns | 52c | 114.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Suns | 55c | 104.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Suns | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Suns | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Pistons | 46c | 96.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 49c | 91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)this page
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Pistons vs. SunsSuns won
- Pistons vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.