NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fd7e8fc6415fbcfa84e7581bf0873cad524be566ffea92238ddd6424741608a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Pistons, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Pistons | 49c | 10,054$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,926.32 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pistons | 52c | 9,999$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.69 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 48c | 8,877$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,627.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Suns | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Suns | 51c | 4,800$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.68 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Pistons | 51c | 3,167$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.17 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 49c | 2,855$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 60c | 2,519$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.09 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Suns | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Pistons | 50c | 2,086$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 50c | 1,711$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.69 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Suns | 50c | 1,702$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.08 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 49c | 1,594$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.69 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…9ef0backed Pistons | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 50c | 844$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Pistons | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 46c | 777.41$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Suns | 50c | 655.52$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.76 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Suns | 48c | 477.9$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.48 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 50c | 463.18$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Suns | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Pistons | 53c | 399.97$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.98 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pistons | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 55c | 252.52$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Pistons | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 54c | 235.68$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Suns | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Suns | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…f9c9backed Pistons | 55c | 182.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…483dbacked Pistons | 50c | 160.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 51c | 117.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Pistons | 52c | 115.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Suns | 48c | 101.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Pistons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Suns | 55c | 87.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Suns | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 53c | 67.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Pistons | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Suns | 48c | 66.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Suns | 48c | 58.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Suns | 49c | 57.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Suns | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Suns | 46c | 45.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Pistons | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pistons | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Suns | 51c | 38.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Pistons | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…1f46backed Pistons | 50c | 33.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Suns | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Pistons | 52c | 30.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Pistons | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Suns | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Suns | 51c | 29.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Suns | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…44b3backed Pistons | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 50c | 26.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Pistons | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…2d9cbacked Suns | 63c | 24.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Pistons | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f9…f6c4backed Pistons | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…1df6backed Pistons | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Pistons | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Pistons vs. SunsSuns won
- Pistons vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.