NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ed29e0adc29212e1181215066e31ece0c333c2c4a3810c23080fb68b3ce20d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 4c | 14,124$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,529.92 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 4c | 10,286$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,823.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 53c | 9,474$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…a548backed Under | 48c | 4,985$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c7…97f2backed Under | 48c | 3,896$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 16c | 3,549$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.58 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,124$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 2c | 3,000$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 2,989$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eac…25dabacked Under | 48c | 2,879$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…2695backed Over | 52c | 2,513$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…2a6cbacked Over | 52c | 2,472$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 2,471$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.59 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9552…413bbacked Over | 52c | 2,336$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.86 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 50c | 2,144$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.15 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 1,867$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.47 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 51c | 1,646$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.39 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 1,627$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…fc5abacked Over | 52c | 1,560$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…f6a8backed Over | 52c | 1,453$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe509…106abacked Over | 52c | 1,426$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,359$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Under | 50c | 1,260$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 1,191$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.23 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 16c | 1,188$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Under | 50c | 1,125$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.49 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 804.04$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.37 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Over | 50c | 772.34$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.17 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 737.22$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.15 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 29c | 643.7$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.24 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 51c | 579.63$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.61 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 23c | 569$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.13 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 49c | 534.03$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.67 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 469.39$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.39 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 51c | 407.84$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 16c | 281.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 251.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 51c | 246.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b1…30e9backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 112.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 23c | 109.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 107$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Under | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 16c | 80.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 49c | 61.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edf…0f44backed Over | 50c | 35.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…8a34backed Over | 53c | 33.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Over | 50c | 27.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked Under | 49c | 25.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97bf…b669backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 214.5this page
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Pistons vs. SunsSuns won
- Pistons vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.